Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst +8 years betting experience
Updated: Mar 9, 2026 , 09:23 AM ET • 4 min read

Our Warriors vs. Jazz predictions think Utah can keep it close in what should be a high-scoring affair.

NBA

Match starts: 9 hrs
GS
60 %
UTA
40 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o227.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Keyonte George Utah Jazz NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Keyonte George brings the ball up the floor against the Bucks.

The Golden State Warriors have lost three of their last four games, but they’ll look to get back on track when they face the Utah Jazz at the Delta Center tonight.

Both teams have hit the Over often this season, and my Warriors vs. Jazz predictions and NBA picks expect another high-scoring affair in Salt Lake City.

Warriors vs Jazz prediction

Warriors vs Jazz best bet: Over 226.5 (-110)

Strong defense certainly hasn’t been a hallmark of the Utah Jazz this season, as the team ranks dead last in defensive rating. Utah is 37-27 to the Over, including an NBA-high 22-10 at home. Utah has hit the Over in three of its last five at the Delta Center.

This Golden State Warriors defense has been better than Utah’s, but the Warriors are 36-27 to the Over and 12-5 as the road favorite.

The Warriors have hit the Over in seven of their last 10 games, and the teams have gone Over in three of their last four head-to-head matchups.

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Warriors vs Jazz same-game parlay

The Jazz are 34-30 ATS, and they've covered in 17 of 32 home games. Conversely, the Warriors are just 28-34-1 ATS. The visiting team is 14-17 ATS on the road and 6-11 as the road favorite. Both teams are shorthanded, but I'll give the edge to the home team.

With all of Jaren Jackson Jr., Walker Kessler, and Jusuf Nurkic sidelined, Kyle Filipowski is the go-to guy in Utah's frontcourt. As a starter, the big man has averaged 13 points and 8.5 boards, and across his last nine games since rejoining the starting five, he's averaged 14.7 points and 8.4 rebounds.

Filipowski has scored 12+ in eight of his last nine, and he's grabbed 9+ rebounds four times in that span, including three straight appearances. He's got plenty of opportunity, and he'll face a Warriors frontcourt that will once again be missing Kristaps Porzingis.

Warriors vs Jazz SGP

  • Over 227
  • Jazz +6
  • Kyle Filipowski Over 11.5 points
  • Kyle Filipowski Over 8.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Can't stop Kyle and Keyonte!

Keyonte George is averaging a career-best 24 points per game this season, and he's been Utah's most consistent — and electric — scoring option. Across his last three, George has averaged 29.3 points and hit the Over on this line twice. Strong play from him and Kyle Filipowski will keep Utah competitive tonight.

Warriors vs Jazz SGP

  • Over 227
  • Jazz +6
  • Kyle Filipowski Over 11.5 points
  • Kyle Filipowski Over 8.5 rebounds
  • Keyonte George Over 23.5 points

Warriors vs Jazz odds

  • Spread: Warriors -6 | Jazz +6
  • Moneyline: Warriors -245 | Jazz +200
  • Over/Under: Over 226.5 | Under 226.5

Warriors vs Jazz betting trend to know

The Jazz have gone Over the total in 25 of their last 35 home games for +14.0 units and a 36% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Jazz.

How to watch Warriors vs Jazz

Location Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Date Monday, March 9, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-Bay Area, KJZZ

Warriors vs Jazz latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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