Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Minnesota Timberwolves have the Thunder on deck, meaning they'll likely overlook a feisty Mavericks squad.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 28, 2026 • 14:16 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
DAL
67 %
MIN
33 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Dallas +6.5 (-110) Dallas +6.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Cooper Flagg (32) runs back up the court during the game against the Los Angeles Lakers at the American Airlines Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cooper Flagg (32) runs back up the court during the game against the Los Angeles Lakers at the American Airlines Center.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been stumbling of late, but the Dallas Mavericks have been playing well enough lately that such an opponent should still be a frustration.

My Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions account for both Minnesota’s fatigue and the likely lack of focus.

Find out more in my NBA picks for January 28.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks prediction

Timberwolves vs Mavericks best bet: Mavericks +6.5 (-110)

The Minnesota Timberwolves are simply in a bad schedule spot, on top of being in the midst of overall struggles.

Minnesota lost five straight before beating Golden State’s second unit on Monday night. Much of that could be forgotten if the Wolves beat the Thunder tomorrow, a worry they are likely already looking ahead to.

Life is rarely as simple as that clear of a lookahead moment, but when facing a lottery team, it would be natural for Minnesota to think about Oklahoma City a day early.

That would be a mistake. Rather, it will be a mistake.

The Dallas Mavericks have gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five, including two outright wins as an underdog. Frankly, there is logic to betting the Mavs’ moneyline tonight at +200 with bet365.

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Timberwolves vs Mavericks same-game parlay

This Under is another nod to Minnesota likely looking ahead to tomorrow night, but Rudy Gobert has not struggled too much during the Timberwolves’ downswing, notching a double-double in four of his last five games and in eight of his last 11.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks SGP

  • Mavericks +6.5
  • Under 228
  • Rudy Gobert double-double

Our "from downtown" SGP: Reid between the lines

Naz Reid has not been scoring as consistently recently, possibly because of a bothersome shoulder. But he has still produced, clearing this combo prop in his last four games and six of his last seven games, ignoring the one five-minute game that included that initial injury.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks SGP

  • Mavericks +6.5
  • Under 228
  • Rudy Gobert double-double
  • Naz Reid Over 9.5 assists+rebounds

Timberwolves vs Mavericks odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves -6.5 | Mavericks +6.5
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves -245 | Mavericks +200
  • Over/Under: Over 228 | Under 228

Timberwolves vs Mavericks betting trend to know

Not only has Dallas gone 4-1 ATS in its last five games, but the Mavericks have exceeded bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 15.2 points in those five outings, even when including the single ATS loss. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks.

How to watch Timberwolves vs Mavericks

Location American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-North, KFAA

Timberwolves vs Mavericks latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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