If the San Antonio Spurs need to draw inspiration to keep fighting in Game 6 of the Western Conference finals, perhaps “El Jefe” can arrange a team field trip to the Alamo.
San Antonio is facing elimination at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday and this high-stakes showdown is the perfect setting for my Thunder vs. Spurs same-game parlay.
My NBA picks like San Antonio to force a Game 7 in a high-scoring finish, highlighted by star Victor Wembanyama.
For more analysis, check out my Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for May 28.
Our best Thunder vs Spurs SGP for Game 6
SGP leg #1: Spurs moneyline
The San Antonio Spurs have the third-highest homecourt net rating in the postseason and will warm up their cold shooting from Game 5 by getting back inside the Frost Bank Center.
The return to Texas will also help the Spurs tighten the screws on turnovers, which really hampered their offense in this series. The defense is doing a great job of slowing down Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, which is like cutting the head off the snake.
San Antonio is 5-1 straight up coming off a loss this postseason and 20-6 SU in those spots overall.
SGP leg #2: Over 218.5
The Game 5 final smashed the closing total and could be a hint of where this series is headed in terms of scoring. Chet Holmgren finally woke up, and the Oklahoma City Thunder bench doesn’t allow much of an offensive dip, meaning San Antonio will have to score in Game 6.
The Spurs are at their best playing with pace, fueled by transition offense. These teams produced totals north of 230 in the regular season and that’s where we’re trending on Thursday.
SGP leg #2: Victor Wembanyama Over 27.5 points
After a 5-for-15 dud in Game 5 and bailing on the postgame presser, Victor Wembanyama is under the microscope in this do-or-die outing.
San Antonio’s coach and players are begging Wemby to be more aggressive, and while some models sit at 27 points with 18 FGAS, I expect 22+ shots from the 7-footer.
Wembanyama bounces back from quiet efforts, averaging 28 points in the last 21 games following 15 or fewer FGAs. Nine of those have hit 30+ points.
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See our full Thunder vs Spurs Game 6 preview
Get Jason Logan's full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Thunder vs. Spurs predictions for Game 6.
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