Spurs vs Timberwolves Same-Game Parlay for Friday's NBA Playoffs Game 3

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: May 7, 2026 , 05:12 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: The Timberwolves activate Anthony Edwards's play-making in Game 3.

Anthony Edwards Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect.

The Minnesota Timberwolves did not respond well to a San Antonio Spurs’ adjustment in Game 2. This Spurs vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay focuses on Minnesota’s likely adjustment in Game 3 on Friday, May 8.

For more NBA picks, here is our complete Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions.

Our best Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP for Game 3

SGP leg #1: Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 assists (+115)

The San Antonio Spurs sent a second defender at Anthony Edwards as often as possible in Game 2. Whenever the Minnesota Timberwolves’ superstar crossed halfcourt, a second defender charged at him in an effort to get the ball out of Edwards’s hands as quickly as possible.

Minnesota did not handle that well, in part because its best response is currently in a walking boot on a scooter after tearing his Achilles in Game 4 against the Nuggets. Without Donte DiVincenzo hoisting 29-foot 3-pointers, it was more difficult to break the Spurs’ traps.

But the Timberwolves will need to adjust. The defensive focus is on Edwards. He needs to move the ball to open teammates.

SGP leg #2: Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes (-120)

The best remaining Minnesota shooter, Edwards aside, is Naz Reid. For much of March and even the first round against the Nuggets, Reid’s shoulder bothered him too much to properly stress a defense.

But he has now gone 5-of-7 from beyond the arc in this series. He can hit those 30-footers that will best open up the court for Edwards.

Reid has hit multiple 3-pointers in four games against San Antonio this season.

SGP leg #3: Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds (-120)

More Reid may mean less Rudy Gobert. This whole series should mean less Rudy Gobert.

Victor Wembanyama is such a defensive force; the Timberwolves need five scorers on the court as often as possible, and Gobert simply is not that.

Minnesota’s problem in Game 2 was not its defense, though that was not necessarily spectacular. It was the offense.


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See our full Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 3 preview

Get Douglas Farmer's full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Spurs vs Timberwolves predictions for Game 3.

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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