Saturday night's NBA slate isn't exactly...awesome.
While the Sixers and Warriors battle as two ostensible contenders, the Heat and Bulls clash as walking MASH units and the Wizards look to keep from cracking further against the Jazz.
Elsewhere, we have a bunch of lottery fodder for projected playoff teams, which is where we focus the efforts of our NBA player prop picks for December 11.
NBA player props for December 11
Picks made on 12/11/2021 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best NBA player props
Mr. Garrison schools Memphis
We're borrowing a play from our esteemed colleague Rohit Ponnaiya and piling on the Garrison Matthews bandwagon for tonight's matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies.
Matthews has seen his minutes soar with injuries to the Rockets' perimeter, and is scoring at a much-increased clip. His points total sits at 13.5 tonight, a number which he's 6-1 against in his past seven games, while averaging 17.7 ppg.
Against the Grizzlies, who own a Bottom-10 defensive rating and allow the seventh-most opponent points per game, we'll bank on Matthews to continue his Over streak.
Pick: Garrison Matthews Over 13.5 points (-115 at bet365)
Dark knight rises
In keeping with the Memphis-Houston matchup, Grizzlies big man Jaren Jackson Jr. has been downgraded to doubtful for tonight's game, which positively impacts his teammates' scoring markets in two ways.
First off, Jackson is arguably Memphis' best defender, and without his rim protection and rangy coverage, the Rockets will get easier buckets and increase the chances of this game turning into a shootout.
Second, obviously, are the touches that Jackson will vacate, with usage-magnet Ja Morant already sidelined as well. This will leave plenty of more shots for someone like Desmond Bane, who's shown developed primacy this season, including an average of 20.6 points over his past 10 games (excluding Memphis' complete outlier 73-point win over OKC).
Over that same sample, Bane is 7-3 against tonight's O/U of 18.5 points, so it's a must-bet given Memphis' depleted roster and Houston's sub-par defense.
Pick: Desmond Bane Over 18.5 points (-114 at FanDuel)
Royal flush
We love targeting the Sacramento Kings for opponent prop bets, what with their perpetual allergy to defense and general penchant for high-velocity (10th in NBA in pace), disorganized basketball.
Especially juicy against the Kings are big-man stats, as Sac-Town is 25th in the NBA in rebounding rate and allows the league's most opponent points in the paint by a fairly wide margin.
Worse yet for the Kings, starting center Richaun Holmes is out tonight, so they'll dust off the corpses of Tristan Thompson and Alex Len in hopes of containing one of the East's best centers.
Jarrett Allen has been on a heater this season, putting up an all-around brilliant campaign that's helped the Cleveland Cavaliers defy every preseason projection through both injury and their young roster's learning curve.
Allen's averaging a combined 33.3 points and rebounds over his last 10 games, during which time he's 8-2 against tonight's total of 28.5 in that market. We're getting that number un-juiced in a super appealing matchup, so fire away on Allen to dominate down low.
Pick: Jarrett Allen Over 28.5 points + rebounds (-110 at bet365)
Did you know that if you played today’s NBA props as a parlay, you could win $57.00 on a $10 bet?
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