2025 NBA Championship Odds: Pacers' Price Plummets After Game 3 Win

The Oklahoma City Thunder are still favored to win the 2025 NBA Championship, but things are a lot less lopsided following the Indiana Pacers' victory in Game 3.

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst
Jun 12, 2025 • 09:09 ET • 5 min read
Indiana Pacers NBA Bennedict Mathurin
Photo By - Imagn Images. Indiana Pacers guard Bennedict Mathurin (00) shoots the ball.

The Indiana Pacers pulled off another upset win in Game 3 to take a 2-1 lead in the NBA Finals over the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The NBA Finals odds still favor the Thunder to get the job done, but things are much closer than they were just a game ago, with OKC rising from -550 to -230 while the Pacers shortened from +400 to +190.

Let's take a closer look at the latest NBA odds.

🏆 NBA Championship odds

Team Opening Odds bet365
Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder -715 -230
Pacers Indiana Pacers +500 +190

Who will win the NBA Championship?

Celtics Oklahoma City Thunder (-230)

The Thunder’s 68 wins put them in good company throughout their run in the NBA playoffs. Only five other NBA teams have boasted a higher win percentage than OKC’s .829 win rate, and four of those clubs went on to claim the NBA Championship. Oklahoma City’s +12.8 net rating is second all-time behind only the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls.

Even though they're staring a 2-1 series deficit in the face with home-court advantage gone, the Thunder are still expected to prevail by the oddsmakers when it's all set and done.

Pacers Indiana Pacers (+190)

The Pacers entered the playoffs as long shots after finishing fourth in the Eastern Conference, a full 14 games behind the top-seeded Cavaliers. They've since dispatched the Bucks and Cavs in five games apiece and then bounced the Knicks in six.

Their run has been characterized by a number of historically improbable comebacks, with the latest occurring in Game 1 of the Finals. Indy rallied from 15 down in the fourth quarter, with Tyrese Haliburton's winning bucket with 0.3 seconds left to give the Pacers their first and only lead of the game serving as the exclamation point.

In Game 3, the Pacers overcame a 5-point fourth-quarter deficit.

📈 2025 NBA Finals odds over time

Here's a visual representation of how the NBA championship odds have evolved over the course of this season.

⚡My NBA Finals pick: Thunder win series, 4-2

The Thunder will win the NBA title, but not after the Pacers push back with two wins.

Indiana can match OKC’s depth and speed and don’t make too many mistakes, which is something Oklahoma City thrives on for offense. But in the end, the Thunder’s talent takes over, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way. 

Oklahoma City wins this series in six games, which is paying +375 at bet365.

Pick made before Game 1.

💰 Sportsbook betting splits and insights

Highest ticket percentage:
•    Celtics 11.4%
•    Lakers 11.3%
•    Nuggets 10.8%
 
Highest handle percentage:
•    Thunder 19.8%
•    Celtics 13.5%
•    Lakers 9.7%

"Before the NBA Finals began, the Thunder winning was the ideal outcome for the sportsbook," said Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, BetMGM. "After Game 1, action is more balanced and now the Pacers lifting the Larry O’Brien Trophy is the best result for BetMGM."

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

👑 2025 NBA Finals MVP odds

Player bet365
Thunder Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -225
Pacers Tyrese Haliburton +275
Pacers Pascal Siakam +900
ThunderJalen Williams +7500

The 2024-25 season was a coming-out party for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, whose prolific scoring and prodigious playmaking powered the Thunder to the best record in the NBA. The three-time All-Star led the league with 32.7 points per game and scored 50 points or more three times over a seven-game stretch. His ability to score any time against anyone has OKC favored to be the last team standing in June.

Visit our NBA Finals MVP Odds page for more detailed analysis.

Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout

Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!

Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jasons first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600. His best advice for bettors new and old is; Handicapping isn't a one size fits all process. The impact and importance of information varies from bet to bet. Treat each wager different than the last.

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