Tuesday features a solid six-game NBA slate, with the action tipping off in New York as the Knicks host the Bucks before wrapping up with Thunder vs. Trail Blazers in Portland.
Our NBA predictions highlight the featured picks from Covers analysts across the slate.
See more expert betting angles in our free NBA picks for Nov. 10.
NBA top picks at a glance (Tuesday, Nov. 10)
| Matchup & time | Top pick & analyst |
|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Knicks 7:30 p.m. |
Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes Quinn Allen |
| Celtics vs. 76ers 8 p.m. |
Celtics moneyline Geoff Clark |
| Clippers vs. Suns 9 p.m. |
Under 224.5 Jason Logan |
| Heat vs. Jazz 9 p.m. |
Heat -9.5 Geoff Clark |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers 11 p.m. |
Under 224.5 Jason Logan |
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Bucks vs Knicks pick: Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
- Time: 7:30 p.m.
- TV: MSG, FanDuel Sports Network
- Analyst: Quinn Allen
Top pick: Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
Jalen Brunson's volume from long range has been skyrocketing lately, making this prop very appealing, especially at such a great price. Over his last five contests, the Knicks superstar has attempted at least 10 triples in four games, and he's hit the Over in every outing.
With growing confidence from the perimeter, Brunson is consistently letting it fly. He's also shooting an impressive 43.8% from beyond the arc during that span. The Bucks are around the middle of the pack in the Association at defending the three-ball, and they've been vulnerable against point guards, who are averaging 3.5 makes from downtown.
Brunson will get hot at MSG.
Read Quinn Allen's full Bucks vs. Knicks prediction for more picks.
Celtics vs 76ers pick: Celtics moneyline
- Time: 8 p.m.
- TV: NBC Sports Boston, NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Celtics moneyline
Give me the moneyline for the Boston Celtics at 53%, up to 57%, before I'd be willing to lay up to -3 with them, as the Philadelphia 76ers are frauds.
The Sixers are an unsustainable 8-0 straight-up in clutch time, which is when the score is within five or fewer points with five minutes remaining. Philly ranks 21st in offensive rating and 26th in effective field-goal shooting, which blends 2- and 3-point shooting.
Also, the 76ers are 21st in half-court efficiency and 28th in defensive shot profile, per CleaningTheGlass.com. Half-court efficiency is predictive, especially in this matchup, because both teams play at a slow pace, and it measures how well you score when your opponents set up their defense.
Read Geoff Clark's full Celtics vs. 76ers prediction for more picks.
Clippers vs Suns pick: Under 224.5
- Time: 9 p.m.
- TV: AZFamily, ClipperVision, Fubo
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Under 224.5
The Phoenix Suns’ 3-6 start involved facing some of the NBA's most potent point producers, including Golden State and Portland (both twice), plus that recent run-in with San Antonio. That's skewed the Suns' defensive metrics.
The Los Angeles Clippers aren’t as dangerous with the ball.
Los Angeles ranks 21st in offensive rating, and scoring dries up on the road. The Clippers average the sixth-fewest points as visitors, with an 8.4-point dip in scoring away from home.
Phoenix runs one of the slower pace ratings in the land and will put L.A. and its inconsistent stars in sand, not allowing its guard-heavy lineup to push tempo.
I like the Under 224.5 points and would play this side of the total at a number of 221.5 or higher.
Read Jason Logan's full Clippers vs. Suns prediction for more picks.
Heat vs Jazz pick: Heat -9.5
- Time: 9 p.m.
- TV: WPLG Local 10, KJZZ
- Analyst: Geoff Clark
Top pick: Heat -9.5
Even though they've been one of the NBA's most disappointing teams through the first three weeks, it's solid to take the Miami Heat -9.5, up to -11.5, to smack the Utah Jazz.
Over the last two weeks, Utah ranks 28th in adjusted net rating in the Association, getting outscored by 15.4 points per 100 possessions, per CleaningTheGlass.com. Miami closed as an 11.5-point road favorite in its 114-108 win over the Kings on Sunday, and Sacramento is better than this Jazz team.
Utah will be without three starters Tuesday: big man Jaren Jackson Jr., stretch four Lauri Markkanen, and Keyonte George. That's the Jazz's highest-paid player (Jackson), best rebounder and 3-point shooter (Markkanen), and leading scorer and assist man (George). Miami has a major talent edge and no major injuries.
Read Geoff Clark's full Heat vs. Jazz prediction for more picks.
Thunder vs Trail Blazers pick: Under 224.5
- Time: 11 p.m.
- TV: NBA League Pass
- Analyst: Jason Logan
Top pick: Under 224.5
Before getting blown away by Los Angeles and San Antonio, the Portland Trail Blazers had built their surprise start to the season on the foundations of a Top 10 defense.
The Blazers were No. 8 in advanced defensive rating while checking their first seven foes to less than 111 points per game on a collective 44.7% shooting.
Portland has been off since Saturday, giving head coach Micah Nori time to review film and tighten the bolts on this defense in practice. The Trail Blazers have been excellent at clogging up the key while also not allowing foes to fire from the 3-point arc.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have sputtered out of the gates, with their offense sliding well back of the franchise's usual standards. Injuries to the starting lineup have left OKC to really lean on its defense, resulting in a 3-7 Over/Under record to open the year.
I like the Under 224.5 and would go below the total all the way to 222.5 O/U.
Read Jason Logan's full Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction for more picks.
More NBA picks
Want to build a bigger card? These Covers roundups cover every bet type for today's games:
Check the NBA injury report before finalizing today's picks.
All of today’s matchups are also on the NBA scores and matchups page, and the full pick archive lives in free NBA picks.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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