The Boston Celtics enter the city of Brotherly Love against the Philadelphia 76ers primed for a high-octane battle between two of the East's top offensive catalysts.
With Tatum looking to command the scoring output and Maxey pushing the tempo for the home crowd, high-value opportunities open up across multiple player prop lines.
We break down the top betting edges in our Celtics vs. 76ers computer picks and NBA picks for Tuesday, Nov. 10.
Celtics vs 76ers computer picks
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 Celtics |
 76ers |
|---|---|
| Tatum u26.5 points 42% |
James o14.5 points 60% |
| Queta o6.5 rebounds 47% |
Maxey o3.5 rebounds 54% |
| White o4.5 assists 42% |
Brown o3.5 assists 54% |
| Tatum o2.5 3-pointers 56% |
Edgecombe o1.5 3-pointers 59% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Celtics computer picks
Jayson Tatum Under 26.5 points (42%)
Projection: 24.96 points
Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.1 points per game this season, but his scoring output relies heavily on massive volume rather than efficiency. He is shooting just 42.0% from the field and 31.3% from three. In games where shot volume drops slightly—such as the Boston Celtics recent matchup in Milwaukee, where he took 19 shots and scored 21 points—he routinely finishes below this line.
The Philadelphia 76ers play at a disciplined, slow tempo that limits overall possessions. Furthermore, with Paul George taking on a significant offensive role alongside Tatum, scoring usage is more evenly distributed across Boston's core. Against a stingy division rival, expect Tatum to stay under 27 points.
Neemias Queta Over 6.5 rebounds (47%)
Projection: 7.12 rebounds
Neemias Queta has grabbed 9 rebounds in 22 minutes during Boston's recent victory, demonstrating high per-minute rebounding efficiency when given reliable rotational run.
Philadelphia presents a favorable setup for interior rebounding; their physical frontline creates plenty of contestable board opportunities, particularly on the offensive glass where Queta excels.
With Boston relying on his vertical spacing and rim protection in the rotation, Queta should comfortably log 20+ minutes. Given his career averages and active presence, expect him to clear the 7-rebound threshold tonight.
Derrick White Over 4.5 assists (42%)
Projection: 4.69 assists
Derrick White is averaging 5.0 assists per game this season, routinely operating as Boston's main initiator and secondary ball-handler alongside Jayson Tatum. He has logged 5 or more assists in the majority of his recent starts, consistently driving high-volume potential assist opportunities in pick-and-roll sets.
Philadelphia's defensive coverage frequently collapses inside to protect the rim, opening up drive-and-kick options for White to feed Boston's perimeter shooters and rolling bigs. Given his stable 30+ minute workload, White should comfortably clear 5 assists tonight.
Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 3-pointers (56%)
Projection: 2.64 threes
Tatum continues to fire from deep at a heavy rate, averaging over 7 three-point attempts per game. Coming off a 5-for-11 performance from beyond the arc in Milwaukee, he has knocked down at least five triples in two of his last three games.
Philadelphia’s defense frequently packs the paint to suppress interior drives, leaving perimeter opportunities open for Boston's primary option. With Tatum seeing extended run in a tight divisional rivalry matchup, his volume alone creates a clear runway to hit three distance shots tonight.
76ers computer picks
LeBron James Over 14.5 points (60%)
Projection: 15.53 points
LeBron James is averaging over 21 points per game this season and has historically dominated rivalry games, averaging 28.4 points across 62 career matchups against Boston. Even in a scaled-back usage role alongside primary ball-handlers, a 15-point threshold sits well below his baseline output.
Boston’s disciplined perimeter defense will force mid-range attempts and transition drives—areas where James continues to generate reliable offense. Barring severe minute restrictions or blowout script, his transition efficiency and trips to the free-throw line make clearing 14.5 points a clear expectation tonight.
Tyrese Maxey Over 3.5 rebounds (54%)
Projection: 3.90 rebounds
Tyrese Maxey is averaging over 3.8 rebounds per game this season while logging nearly 38 minutes per night. Boston ranks among the highest in three-point attempt frequency, generating a large volume of long rebounds that routinely bounce out toward guards.
With his elite speed in transition, Maxey active on defensive glass leads directly to fast-break opportunities. Expect him to stay involved on the boards and comfortably clear 3.5 rebounds tonight.
Jaylen Brown Over 3.5 assists (54%)
Projection: 3.58 assists
Jaylen Brown should be motivated to make an impact against his former team, and his playmaking ability makes Over 3.5 assists an appealing prop.
Brown has the offensive responsibility and versatility to create opportunities for teammates, particularly when opposing defenses focus on limiting his scoring.
Expect him to attack the Celtics' defensive pressure, draw attention, and find open shooters. With just four assists needed to cash, this is a manageable threshold worth targeting.
VJ Edgecombe Over 1.5 3-pointers (59%)
Projection: 1.61 threes
The second-year guard routinely logs 30-plus minutes as a primary starter in the 76ers' backcourt. With Boston's defensive scheme heavily prioritizing paint protection against interior drives, Philadelphia's guards consistently find high-volume perimeter looks in drive-and-kick sequences.
VJ Edgecombe has shown dependable range, regularly taking 4 to 5 three-pointers per contest. Given his heavy minute workload and clear green light from deep, hitting two distance shots tonight is well within his baseline capabilities.
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