Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Naessens' prediction: Blast off over the total.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jan 18, 2026 • 09:20 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
HOU
60 %
NO
40 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o230.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant (7) dribbles the ball.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant (7) dribbles the ball.

The New Orleans Pelicans look to make it two straight wins over the Houston Rockets when they meet in an NBA Southwest Division matchup at the Toyota Center.

Tonight’s matchup features plenty of talented offensive players, and my Pelicans vs. Rockets predictions expect a high-scoring affair. 

Read on for my NBA picks for Saturday, January 18. 

Pelicans vs Rockets prediction

Pelicans vs Rockets best bet: Over 229.5 (-110)

The Houston Rockets finally snapped their shooting slump by hitting 42.9% from three against Minnesota, a sharp rebound after a brutal 24.6% stretch from downtown.

Houston’s newfound offensive confidence should carry over tonight against a New Orleans Pelicans defense that struggles to contain the perimeter and protect the paint consistently.

New Orleans’ issues aren’t on the offensive end. When healthy, the Pelicans play fast and loose, pushing tempo and creating scoring opportunities on both sides of the ball. 

That pace, combined with Houston’s improving shot quality, points toward a high-scoring environment in Space City.

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Pelicans vs Rockets same-game parlay

Kevin Durant and Trey Murphy III are going to enjoy playing in tonight's projected fast-paced game environment.

Durant has scored 26 or more points in six of his previous seven, while Murphy III has cleared 21 points in seven consecutive games.

Pelicans vs Rockets SGP

  • Over 230.5
  • Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Over 20.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Splish splash

Jordan Poole has knocked down at least two triples in five straight games while Durant averages five dimes across his previous 10 contests. 

Pelicans vs Rockets SGP

  • Over 230.5
  • Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Over 20.5 points
  • Kevin Durant Over 4.5 assists
  • Jordan Poole Over 1.5 threes

Pelicans vs Rockets odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +12.5 | Rockets -12.5
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +491 | Rockets -752
  • Over/Under: Over 230.5 | Under 230.5

Pelicans vs Rockets betting trend to know

The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Rockets.

How to watch Pelicans vs Rockets

Location Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Date Sunday, January 18, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Pelicans+, Space City HN

Pelicans vs Rockets latest injuries

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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