The Denver Nuggets travel to the Bay as they face the Golden State Warriors for the third time this season.
Nikola Jokic is generous to teammates in San Francisco, and my Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions expect him to rack up double-digit assists.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference showdown on Sunday, February 22.
Nuggets vs Warriors prediction
Nuggets vs Warriors best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 assists (-135)
Nikola Jokic has had great success as a facilitator in the Bay, and he should easily clear his assists line tonight. Across his last five games at Golden State, Jokic averaged 11 assists and finished with 10 or more four times.
With 10.5 helpers per game, Jokic leads the NBA in assists this season. He's dished 10+ dimes in 26 of 41 games overall, and he's averaged 9.9 on the road. Jamal Murray is banged up, which could mean additional playmaking responsibilities for the Joker.
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Nuggets vs Warriors same-game parlay
The Denver Nuggets sport the second-best ATS record on the road this season at 20-1, and the Nuggets are 12-9 ATS as the road favorite. The Golden State Warriors are just 14-15 ATS at home, and the Dubs have covered in just one of five games as the home dog.
The Nuggets' offense is the highest-scoring in the Association, and the team set a franchise record for points on the road with 157 in Friday's win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Denver has hit the Over in eight of its last 10 games, and Golden State has done so in three straight.
Nuggets vs Warriors SGP
- Jokic Over 9.5 assists
- Nuggets -6.5
- Over 229.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: A Nugget party
Kristaps Porzingis finished with 12 points across 17 minutes in his Warriors debut, and he's expected to see his minutes tick up on Sunday. He can get one more bucket and clear this scoring line, especially in a high-scoring matchup with the Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Warriors SGP
- Jokic Over 9.5 assists
- Nuggets -6.5
- Over 229.5
- Porzingis Over 13.5 points
Nuggets vs Warriors odds
- Spread: Nuggets -6.5| Warriors +6.5
- Moneyline: Nuggets -240 | Warriors +195
- Over/Under: Over 229.5 | Under 229.5
Nuggets vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.
How to watch Nuggets vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Sunday, February 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Nuggets vs Warriors latest injuries
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