There’s been a different vibe around the New York Knicks since a timely players-only meeting, and they’ll go for an eighth straight win in tonight’s clash with the Denver Nuggets.
Denver welcomed Nikola Jokic back on Friday with a minutes restriction, but has dropped its last two contests, and my Nuggets vs Knicks predictions target another big man with a wager on Karl-Anthony Towns.
Check out my NBA picks ahead of this marquee February 4 matchup.
Nuggets vs Knicks prediction
Nuggets vs Knicks best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds (-110)
Endless trade rumors seem to have taken a toll on Karl-Anthony Towns, but he’s not letting that affect his rebounding.
KAT leads the NBA with 11.8 rebounds per game, but he’s taken that up another notch lately, with a whopping 17.5 RPG across his past four outings. He even reached the 20-rebound mark in consecutive games last week, padding those numbers at the expense of his scoring.
With Nikola Jokic still finding his feet again after his knee injury and the Denver Nuggets on the second night of a back-to-back set, the visitors may take the cautious approach here with their three-time MVP, paving the way for Towns to own the paint.
Josh Hart’s ankle injury last night adds another wrinkle. It's another reason to think Towns will feast on the glass, with the New York Knicks potentially needing to replace Hart’s reliable rebounding tallies.
KAT finished with double-digit boards in both games against Denver last season, and he knows this matchup well from his days with the Timberwolves.
Though foul trouble is always a risk with Towns, he’s most comfortable around the basket defensively, and this Over is well within reach.
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Nuggets vs Knicks same-game parlay
The Under is 8-2 in the Knicks’ last 10 games, and it’s also been a winning ticket in four of the past six meetings between these teams. With question marks around Hart's and Jokic's availability, plus a dose of back-to-back fatigue for both squads, I’m giving the defenses the edge.
Whichever way the Nuggets handle Jokic’s workload, there’s going to be a role for Jonas Valanciunas. He grabbed 11 rebounds in last night’s loss in Detroit, and he’s shown he can nail this Over in limited minutes.
Nuggets vs Knicks SGP
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds
- Under 226
- Jonas Valanciunas Over 5.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Peyton's Place
Peyton Watson is shaping up to be a key man in Denver’s playoff rotation, and he continues to blossom as a scorer. He’s gone past this O/U number in four straight contests, headlined by a 29-point effort against the Thunder on the weekend.
Nuggets vs Knicks SGP
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 rebounds
- Under 226
- Jonas Valanciunas Over 5.5 rebounds
- Peyton Watson Over 15.5 points
Nuggets vs Knicks odds
- Spread: Nuggets +4.5 (-110) | Knicks -4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Nuggets +160 | Knicks -190
- Over/Under: Over 226.5 (-110) | Under 226.5 (-110)
Nuggets vs Knicks betting trend to know
The Nuggets are 19-8 SU on the road this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Knicks.
How to watch Nuggets vs Knicks
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Wednesday, February 4, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Nuggets vs Knicks latest injuries
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