Hornets vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's NBA Game

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 , 02:00 PM ET • 4 min read

The Hornets are treading water with injuries and poor shooting, and that sets up one-way traffic for the Suns tonight at Mortgage Matchup Center.

nba

Match starts: 1 hrs
Moussa Diabate Charlotte Hornets Collin Gillespie Phoenix Suns NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Hornets vs Suns Predictions. Moussa Diabate Charlotte Hornets Collin Gillespie Phoenix Suns NBA

There's no sign of last year's feel-good factor for the struggling Charlotte Hornets, and they're 6.5-point underdogs for a visit to the Phoenix Suns tonight.

With Kon Knueppel and Brandon Miller ruled out, Charlotte's league-worst offense could sink to new lows here, so my Hornets vs. Suns predictions favor a deeper Phoenix team that's won three of its last four games.

Dig into this Thursday, Nov. 12 matchup with my free NBA picks and betting tips.

TOP PICK
Hornets vs Suns prediction: Suns -6.5

The Phoenix Suns are finding their feet on this homestand, posting a 3-1 ATS mark in their last four games, and I can't trust a Charlotte Hornets team that's only covered the spread in one of their past seven outings.

The misfiring, depleted Charlotte offense is averaging just 98.8 PPG and was stuck in the mud even before Brandon Miller joined Kon Knueppel on the injury report. They're jacking up the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA, but only two teams make their triples at a lower rate.

In contrast, Phoenix takes care of the ball, has a starting lineup packed with willing scorers and can lean on a bench that's chipping in with almost 40 points a night (11th in the league). With the Suns' second unit poised to stretch the lead against Charlotte's overtaxed reserves, I'd play this up to -7.5 and 56%.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Bank on extra possessions for Phoenix tonight. The Suns rank in the Top 10 in AST/TO rate (1.90), while the Hornets are last by a distance at 1.13.

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Hornets vs Suns combo

All four of Phoenix's wins have come at Mortgage Matchup Center this season, and I'm expecting the hosts to add to that tally tonight against a Charlotte team that's lost three in a row on the road.

As always, Devin Booker holds the key to a solid Suns shooting night, and I love the Over on 1.5 triples. Booker has cashed this prop in seven straight outings, and he's attempted 36 3-pointers across his past five games.

Naz Reid is walking into all the volume he can handle here, with backcourt absences freeing up 3-point looks and a likely minutes restriction again for Cody White. Reid scored 25 points on 26 shots against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday, and he's up to 37% from downtown.

Hornets vs Suns combo

  • Suns moneyline
  • Devin Booker Over 1.5 3-pointers
  • Naz Reid Over 20.5 points

Hornets vs Suns player props


Hornets player prop: Moussa Diabate Over 8.5 rebounds

The Hornets will be counting on Moussa Diabate's energy to paper over a weakened rotation here. He's averaging 9.1 RPG this season, and he's cashed this Over in four of his last six outings.

Diabate grabbed 10 boards in his last matchup against the Suns, and Phoenix is vulnerable on the glass. The visitors rank last in the league with just 39.7 RPG.

Charlotte's heavy diet of 3-pointers creates long rebounds, and Diabate's athleticism will trouble Oso Ighodaro and Khaman Maluach. I'd bet this up to 9.5 at a better price, too.


Suns player prop: Collin Gillespie Over 3.5 assists

The Suns are starting games without a traditional point guard, but Collin Gillespie provides that kind of structure for the second unit and relieves the pressure on Booker when they share the floor. He dished eight dimes on Tuesday against the LA Clippers, and he's averaging 4.4 APG so far this season.

With the Hornets turning to an inexperienced bench group, look for Gillespie's savvy playmaking to set up open shots for Luke Kennard, Ryan Dunn and Maluach, and I'd bet this up to 54%.

Tom Oldfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 4-5, +0.35 units
  • Combos: 1-7, -2.25 units
  • Props: 8-4, +1.40 units
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Hornets vs Suns odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Hornets +6.5 | Suns -6.5
  • Over/Under: Over 214.5 | Under 214.5
  • Moneyline: Hornets 34% | Suns 67%

For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!

Hornets vs Suns trend

The Suns are 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Find more NBA betting trends.

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How to watch Hornets vs Suns

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Thursday, Nov. 12, 2026
Tip off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV Suns Live, Arizona's Family 3TV

Hornets vs Suns latest injuries

Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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