Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Hanshew's prediction: Expect a high-scoring affair at the Moda Center between two shorthanded teams.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Feb 20, 2026 • 14:18 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 6 hrs
DEN
61 %
POR
39 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o241.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Deni Avdija of the Portland Trail Blazers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Deni Avdija of the Portland Trail Blazers.

Two shorthanded teams clash as the Denver Nuggets travel to Moda Center to face the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.

The game total has gone Over in eight of the last 10 head-to-head matchups, and my Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers predictions call for another high-scoring affair.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this Northwest Division showdown on Friday, February 20.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers prediction

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers best bet: Over 241.5 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers will be shorthanded tonight, but that won’t stop a steady stream of points at Moda Center. On the season, both teams rank in the top-12 in points per game scored, and both rank in the top-7 in that category across their last 10 games.

In that span, each team ranks in the bottom-10 in points per game surrendered, creating a perfect blend of high scoring and lax defense. Denver has averaged 124.5 points across its last four on the road, while Portland has averaged 125.6 across its last five at home

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Nuggets vs Trail Blazers same-game parlay

The home team has covered the spread in six straight head-to-head matchups between the Nuggets and Trail Blazers. Portland is 17-12 ATS at home and 11-7 as the home underdog.

Deni Avdija is averaging 39 PRA this season, but this line is depressed due to his recent availability. He's appeared in only six of the Blazers' last 16 games, but he should be close to full strength after the All-Star break.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers SGP

  • Over 241.5
  • Trail Blazers +1.5
  • Deni Avdija Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Mighty Murray

Jamal Murray has been ultra-productive over his last 10 games, averaging 24.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 8.8 assists.

He's hit the Over on this line six times in that span, going for exactly 36 twice more.

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers SGP

  • Over 241.5
  • Trail Blazers +1.5
  • Deni Avdija Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists
  • Jamal Murray Over 36.5 points + rebounds + assists

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers odds

  • Spread: Nuggets +1.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Nuggets -125 | Trail Blazers +105
  • Over/Under: Over 241.5 (-110) | Under 241.5 (-110)

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers betting trend to know

The Denver Nuggets have hit the game total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+13.53 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers.

How to watch Nuggets vs Trail Blazers

Location Moda Center, Portland, OR
Date Friday, February 20, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Altitude, BlazerVision

Nuggets vs Trail Blazers latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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