Knicks vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 29, 2026 , 04:31 PM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: Karl-Anthony Towns will help keep the Knicks close vs. the Thunder.

NBA

Mar 29 • 7:30 PM ET
NY
54 %
OKC
46 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New York +8.5 (-110) New York +8.5 (-110)
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Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New York Knicks center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) goes to the basket against Oklahoma City Thunder guard Kenrich Williams (34) .

The New York Knicks are being slightly undervalued on the road, even against an elite opponent like the Oklahoma City Thunder.

New York played OKC tight the last time these teams met, and my Knicks vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, March 29, expect another close game tonight at Paycom Center.

Knicks vs Thunder prediction

Knicks vs Thunder best bet: Knicks +8.5 (-110)

The New York Knicks and Oklahoma City Thunder both come into tonight’s game playing well, with New York having a seven-game winning streak before losing on Thursday, while OKC has won 13 of its last 14 contests. Both still have a lot to play for in the race for top seeds in their respective contests, and both teams are relatively healthy heading into tonight’s matchup.

That’s all to say that we’re going to get the best of both sides tonight. In the case of these teams, that means tough defense that makes every possession into a battle. The Thunder have arguably the best defense in the NBA, allowing 107.7 ppg with a league-best 104.6 defensive efficiency, but the Knicks aren’t far behind, giving up just 110.5 ppg themselves.

That showed in the first meeting between these teams, when OKC fought its way to a 103-100 victory in New York. And with two defenses playing this well, it will be hard for either team to put together big runs or pull away from the other.

As well as the Thunder have been playing, they haven’t been dominating the way their backers need lately. OKC has covered in only three of its last 14 games overall, with two of those covers coming against overmatched opponents in the 76ers and Nets.

Quality opponents like the Knicks have been able to stay in games against the Thunder, and that’s exactly what I’m expecting tonight. I’m taking New York to cover.

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Knicks vs Thunder same-game parlay

This game features two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and we’ve already seen them play once this year, resulting in a game total of 203 points.

I’m taking the Under for my SGP, and I think it’s a good straight bet as well. Let’s round out the SGP by backing Karl-Anthony Towns to pick up Over 17.5 points, a total he’s hit in four of his last five games overall.

Knicks vs Thunder SGP

  • Knicks +8.5
  • Under 223.5
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Double-double trouble

Both sides have serious double-double threats in this game, and I’m targeting one from each lineup for this parlay. First, KAT has been a consistent double-double machine for the Knicks, picking up five in his last six games.

Chet Holmgren isn’t far behind for the Thunder, with 23 double-doubles on the season. I’ll round things out by taking OG Anunoby to hit at least three shots from beyond the arc tonight, as he’s coming off back-to-back games where he made five threes in each.

Knicks vs Thunder SGP

  • Knicks +8.5
  • Karl-Anthony Towns to record a double-double
  • Chet Holmgren to record a double-double
  • OG Anunoby Over 2.5 threes

Knicks vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Knicks +8.5 | Thunder -8.5
  • Moneyline: Knicks +280 | Thunder -360
  • Over/Under: Over 223.5 | Under 223.5

Knicks vs Thunder betting trend to know

The Thunder have covered in just three of their last 14 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Thunder.

How to watch Knicks vs Thunder

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Sunday, March 29, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Knicks vs Thunder latest injuries

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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