Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 8, 2026 , 02:07 PM ET • 4 min read

Ponnaiya's prediction: Three time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic will dominate a Memphis Grizzlies squad that has lost 18 of its last 20 games.

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
MEM
57 %
DEN
43 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nikola Jokic o12.5  Total Rebounds (-130) Nikola Jokic o12.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
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Denver Nuggets NBA Nikola Jokic
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic gathers a rebound.

The Denver Nuggets are gunning for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference and host the struggling Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action tonight.

My Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions are backing superstar center Nikola Jokic to dominate Memphis inside.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this clash on Wednesday, April 8.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets prediction

Grizzlies vs Nuggets best bet: Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds (-130)

Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic leads the NBA with 12.9 rebounds per game and has snagged 14+ boards in seven of his last eight contests.

He has an extremely favorable matchup tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies, who are tanking. Memphis is especially weak inside after trading away Jaren Jackson Jr. and shutting down Zach Edey and Santi Aldama.

The Griz are 26th in the NBA in rebounding rate (48.1%), with that number falling to just 43.4% since the start of March. That, combined with their fast tempo, has resulted in them allowing a league-worst 50.9 rebounds per game over the last 15.

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Grizzlies vs Nuggets same-game parlay

The Griz clearly care more about getting a better lottery pick than being competitive in a rebuilding season. They aren't even trying on defense anymore, surrendering 129.8 points per game over their last 10.

That should lead to plenty of points for Denver, which means lots of assists for Jokic. Joker has dropped at least 12 dimes in seven of his last eight games.

One guy who will benefit from those passes is Aaron Gordon. Gordon has cleared 15.5 points in three of his last five contests, and he's fresh off a 23-point performance against Portland. 

Grizzlies vs Nuggets SGP

  • Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds
  • Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists
  • Aaron Gordon Over 15.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Joker's Wild 

Jokic has also scored more than 30 points in three of his last five games. With Jokic stuffing the stat sheet, there's a good chance Denver can cover this massive first-half spread.

After all, Memphis has an average first-half margin of -11.0 in its last 10 games, and the Nuggets could be extra motivated after losing as big favorites in Memphis last month.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets SGP

  • Nikola Jokic Over 23.5 points
  • Nikola Jokic Over 12.5 rebounds
  • Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists
  • 1H Nuggets -13.5

Grizzlies vs Nuggets odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +23 (-110) | Nuggets -23 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +1600 | Nuggets -5000
  • Over/Under: Over 244.5 (-110) | Under 244.5 (-110)

Grizzlies vs Nuggets betting trend to know

The Nuggets have covered the second-quarter spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Nuggets

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Wednesday, April 8, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN SE-Memphis, ALT

Grizzlies vs Nuggets latest injuries

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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