Dylan Harper hasn’t looked like a rookie on the NBA Finals stage, and he certainly didn’t sound like one after the San Antonio Spurs fell behind 0-2 in the series against the New York Knicks.
After scoring 16 and 15 points in the first two games, Harper remained unfazed, telling reporters, “It's not the first to win two. We can’t really hang our heads on that.”
Now, with the series shifting to Madison Square Garden, the New Jersey native gets a homecoming of sorts. The Spurs enter Game 3 as 2-point underdogs, but my Spurs vs. Knicks predictions and NBA picks expect Harper to rise to the occasion in front of a familiar crowd.
Additionally, Douglas Farmer's got a trio of Spurs vs. Knicks props for Monday, June 8.
- UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight!
Spurs vs Knicks Game 3 prediction
Who will win Spurs vs Knicks Game 3?
Knicks: There were plenty of patches of orange and blue in San Antonio the past two games. You can only imagine just how nuts MSG is going to be for Game 3. New York continues to show its veteran composure in this series, playing its best in the crunch while watching the wheels come off the young Spurs.
The extra day off helps those aging legs recharge, including Jalen Brunson’s tender knee, and the Knicks will once again win the war when it comes to hustle points.
Spurs vs Knicks best bet: Dylan Harper Over 12.5 points (-112)
Dylan Harper went from rookie to floor general in Game 2. He recorded his most minutes and his third-most FGAs of the playoffs – save for OT in Game 1 against OKC.
More importantly, he was the catalyst for the San Antonio Spurs’ late run, scoring nine of his 15 points in the fourth quarter by attacking the rim and drawing fouls. His mix of speed and strength is a handful for even the New York Knicks’ stingiest defenders.
Mitch Johnson is now trusting Harper in crunch time, and his Game 3 projections hover around 14 points, given a similar workload.
COVERS INTEL: Harper’s usage climbed from 17.9 in Game 1 of the NBA Finals to 20.8 in Game 2. He was second on the team behind only Victor Wembanyama when it came to usage and points percentage in graded clutch time (final five minutes).
Spurs vs Knicks Game 3 same-game parlay
The Knicks just won’t die. Or better yet, the Spurs don’t have the killer instinct to put them away. New York is locked in from the starters to the bench, fighting for every 50/50 ball and thriving under pressure.
San Antonio, on the other hand, sees its wheels wobble in the clutch, as evidenced by careless turnovers and poor offensive rebounding.
New York is not dependent on Jalen Brunson to carry the team, as long as he’s there to hit those backbreakers. Madison Square Garden gives the Knicks a hefty home-court edge, and the bright lights of Broadway blind San Antonio’s youngsters.
Mikal Bridges was huge in the second half of Game 2. With the Spurs blitzing Brunson, Bridges’ mid-range stroke was the Spurs’ kryptonite. He was steady on 8-for-13 shooting and anchored a third-quarter surge with Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns on the bench.
His Game 3 models flirt with 15 points.
Spurs vs Knicks SGP
- Knicks moneyline
- Dylan Harper Over 12.5 points
- Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Brunson Burner!
Bridges continues to pick up the scoring slack with Brunson under fire, but the Knicks’ point guard still does damage from outside.
The Over 2.5 triples has been my "white whale" prop in this series, as Brunson has had plenty of open looks from long range but can’t get past two makes.
Home cooking helps in Game 3. Towns had four dimes on seven potential assists in Game 2, and his ability to stretch the floor and pass over smaller defenders helps him repeat that feat in Game 3.
Spurs vs Knicks SGP
- Knicks moneyline
- Mikal Bridges Over 13.5 points
- Jalen Brunson Over 2.5 threes
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 3.5 assists
Spurs vs Knicks betting trend to know
New York is 28-15 ATS as a home favorite on the year, including 5-2 ATS in the playoffs. The Knicks are 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS as home chalk hosting Western Conference foes. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Knicks.
Spurs vs Knicks odds for Game 3
- Spread: Spurs +2 | Knicks -2
- Moneyline: Spurs +110 | Knicks -130
- Over/Under: Over 215.5 | Under 215.5
How to watch Spurs vs Knicks Game 3
| Location | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date | Monday, June 8, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Spurs vs Knicks latest injuries
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