The Spurs are caught in a major defensive dilemma regarding how to deploy Victor Wembanyama in Game 2.
Wemby was fantastic guarding the perimeter in Game 1, but it came at a price: removing him from the paint left the defensive glass wide open for the Knicks to feast on.
Our Game 2 Knicks vs. Spurs predictions expect San Antonio to adjust by keeping their star big man near the rim tonight, betting they can live with New York’s outside shooting if it means shutting down those killer second-chance opportunities.
My NBA picks expect Wembanyama to ratchet up his rebounding on Friday, June 5.
- UPDATE: Added prediction for who will win & +825 SGP!
Knicks vs Spurs Game 2 prediction
Who will win Knicks vs Spurs Game 2?
Spurs: The Knicks accomplished their mission and stole a win in San Antonio, flipping home-court on its ear. New York’s veterans never looked rattled in Game 1, even when falling behind big. And when the pressure built, the young Spurs crumbled late in the fourth quarter.
The Finals nerves are gone and I expect a tight San Antonio side to be much looser and shoot better than a dismal effort in the opener. I could see this being another close contest, but San Antonio is a great team off a loss (21-6 SU) and evens things up in Game 2.
Knicks vs Spurs best bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds (-120)
The San Antonio Spurs need Victor Wembanyama to stay at home and clean the defensive glass.
Not only does his rebounding spark the Spurs’ transition (which was a no-show in 2H), but giving up a Costco-sized pack of offensive rebounds to the New York Knicks is crippling to the defense after forcing a miss.
Wembanyama still wrangled 12 boards on 22 rebounding chances but only nine on defense, as he was closing out on shooters.
His Game 2 rebounding total stays lower at 11.5 O/U with projections ranging from 12.5 to 15+ boards. My number is around 14 rebounds, which should have the Over priced at -185.
COVERS INTEL: Wembanyama spent most of Game 1 guarding Karl-Anthony Towns. Game 2 adjustments could see Wemby assigned more to Josh Hart, who shot just 1 for 5 for three points in Game 1. That allows him to play closer to the rim and stay in prime rebounding range.
Knicks vs Spurs Game 2 same-game parlay
I’m not running to lay the points with San Antonio, as New York doesn’t quit. However, I see the Spurs getting past the initial nerves and executing better offensively. Home teams coming off a loss in the NBA Finals aren’t great against the spread, but they are 24-16 SU since 2005-06.
With Wembanyama grabbing long boards and fueling the transition attack, San Antonio evens this series. He’ll stay closer to the rim and convert more of those rebounding chances, with models calling for as many as 15+ boards in Game 2.
Dylan Harper is a big part of that transition attack with his aggressive play getting to the rim for easy looks. With De’Aaron Fox struggling to score, there’s pressure on Mitch Johnson to give the rookie more run. Harper’s projected for as many as 13 points on Friday.
Knicks vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs moneyline
- Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
- Dylan Harper Over 11.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Out of this World
After the Game 1 loss, Mitch Johnson told reporters the team needs to get Wembanyama going earlier following a quiet opening frame. With a focused effort on feeding the “Alien”, Wemby tops his scoring prop, with some bullish models above 29 points. On defense, staying glued to the paint has him picking up rebounds and sending back a ton of shots.
Knicks vs Spurs SGP
- Spurs -6.5
- Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 points
- Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
- Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 blocks
Knicks vs Spurs odds for Game 2
- Spread: Knicks +6.5 | Spurs -6.5
- Moneyline: Knicks +190 | Spurs -230
- Over/Under: Over 214.5 | Under 214.5
Knicks vs Spurs betting trend to know
NBA Finals games with totals of less than 220 points are 36-60 O/U (62.5% Unders) since the 2005-06 season. The Game 2 total is at 214.5 O/U. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Spurs.
How to watch Knicks vs Spurs Game 2
| Location | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX |
| Date | Friday, June 5, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Knicks vs Spurs latest injuries
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