Warriors vs Nuggets Computer Picks: Our Best NBA Player Prop Projections

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 26, 2026 , 05:50 PM ET • 4 min read

Check out our system's suggestions for tonight's Warriors vs. Nuggets clash, with Christian Braun featuring for Denver.

Warriors vs Nuggets Computer Picks Christian Braun
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Nuggets guard Christian Braun.

Looking for the best Warriors vs. Nuggets computer picks for Monday, Oct. 26? We’ve rounded up four player prop projections for each team, highlighting the Overs with the strongest positive differences between the model’s projections and the listed prop lines.

Check out our latest NBA picks for more expert predictions and player props.

Warriors vs. Nuggets computer picks

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Warriors Warriors Nuggets Nuggets
Stephen Curry 4+ assists
66%
Christian Braun 10+ points
68%
De'Anthony Melton 10+ points
54%
Jamal Murray 4+ rebounds
62%
Stephen Curry 4+ rebounds
42%
Christian Braun 2+ assists
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Draymond Green 10+ points
34%
Christian Braun 6+ rebounds
39%

Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

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Warriors computer picks

Stephen Curry 4+ Assists

Projection: 4.70 assists

Curry's assist prop earns a four-star rating, with a +19.65% EV and a projection of 4.70 assists. He recorded four helpers against Memphis on Oct. 23.

🔥Trade Curry ASSISTS now

De'Anthony Melton 10+ Points

Projection: 10.53 points

Melton's points Over receives a four-star rating and the strongest EV edge among these eight selections at +20.94%. He's fresh off a 25-point game vs. Phoenix.

🔥Trade Melton POINTS now

Stephen Curry 4+ Rebounds

Projection: 3.48 rebounds

Curry's rebounds Over carries a three-star rating with a +5.31% EV edge. Although he hasn't hit this line yet in 2026-27, he's averaged 4.6 boards in his career, and he's at plus-money to clear this prop tonight.

🔥Trade Curry REBOUNDS now

Draymond Green 10+ Points

Projection: 8.09 points

Green's points Over is rated three stars and carries a +6.93% EV edge. 

Green has taken an unusually low amount of shots (four per game) through two appearances. He averages over seven shots per game in his career.

🔥Trade Green POINTS now

Nuggets computer picks

Christian Braun 10+ Points

Projection: 12.72 points

Braun's points Over receives four stars and carries a +13.87% EV edge. His 12.72-point projection is well above this line. 

🔥Trade Braun POINTS now

Jamal Murray 4+ Rebounds

Projection: 4.63 rebounds

Murray's rebounds Over earns four stars with +14.65% EV edge. The model is projecting 4.63 boards. He had 10 on opening night, then three vs. Memphis last time out.

🔥Trade Murray REBOUNDS now

Christian Braun 2+ Assists

Projection: 2.44 assists

Braun's assists Over is rated four stars and has a +13.82% EV edge. His 2.44-assist projection offers plenty of cushion. 

Braun averaged a career-high 2.7 helpers in 2025-26.

🔥Trade Braun ASSISTS now

Christian Braun 6+ Rebounds

Projection: 5.31 rebounds

Braun's rebounds Over is at four stars with a +13.84% EV edge. He had eight rebounds against New Orleans and six against Oklahoma City, clearing this line in both outings. 

🔥Trade Braun REBOUNDS now

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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