The NBA Finals swing to Madison Square Garden for Game 3 tonight, with the New York Knicks holding a commanding 2-0 series lead over the San Antonio Spurs.
Our NBA experts have you covered with a trio of NBA picks for you to get in before tip-off at 8:30 p.m. on June 8.
Spurs vs Knicks Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jon Metler: Jalen Brunson Over 25.5 points |
-125 |
 Jason Logan: De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists |
-135 |
 Joe Osborne: Knicks -2.5 |
-105 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler's expert pick: Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points
Price: -112 at bet365
There was one takeaway from Game 2 that seemed to be universally shared by the broadcast crew and anyone watching: While playoff basketball is naturally more physical, the officials let the game get a little too far out of hand.
I expect that to be a point of emphasis heading into Game 3, and if the whistle tightens up even slightly, Jalen Brunson stands to benefit more than anyone. A few extra trips to the free-throw line could be all it takes for this prop to cash.
What stands out most to me, though, is the volume. Despite constant hand-checking and limited freedom of movement, Brunson still attempted 25 shots in Game 2.
Through two games, he has already put up 56 field-goal attempts, an elite workload that’s difficult to overlook. This handicap is far more about opportunity than efficiency. With Brunson continuing to dominate the offense, I price the Over 26.5 points closer to -155.
Jason Logan's expert pick: De'Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists
Price: -135 at bet365
De’Aaron Fox has topped out at five assists in the first two games of the NBA Finals, despite sitting second on the San Antonio Spurs in total potential assists at 22. We’re seeing more pairings of him and Dylan Harper, with Fox taking a back seat in scoring when San Antonio goes small.
The Spurs need to jump-start their transition attack and play a quicker pace, so we’ll see Fox running the point more with Harper and Stephon Castle playing off the ball as the team banks on his steady veteran hand in what will be an insane MSG.
He’s shown success getting inside on the New York Knicks defense and dropping the ball into Victor Wembanyama at the rim or kicking to spot-up shooters.
Most Game 3 projections lean toward six assists from Fox, with a ceiling at 6.2 dimes.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Knicks -2.5
Price: -105 at bet365
I’m sticking with the Knicks in Game 3. Their historic playoff run has now reached 13 consecutive victories, and they continue to find ways to separate themselves when games are hanging in the balance.
New York was the better team in crunch time in the opening two games of the series, while San Antonio’s young core is showing its age. Now the series shifts to Madison Square Garden, where the atmosphere should only amplify the Knicks’ edge.
More Spurs vs Knicks Game 3 picks
- Spurs vs. Knicks prediction
- Spurs vs. Knicks props
- Jalen Brunson odds and props
- Victor Wembanyama odds and props
- Free NBA picks
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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