The New York Knicks are one win away from sweeping the Cleveland Cavaliers and punching their ticket to the NBA Final.
Our NBA experts have you covered for all the action at Rocket Arena, with three NBA picks for Monday, May 25.
Knicks vs Cavaliers Expert Picks Tonight
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Jon Metler:  Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points |
-110 |
 Jason Logan:  Evan Mobley Over 1.5 threes |
+110 |
 Joe Osborne: Knicks -2.5 |
-110 |
Odds courtesy of bet365.
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Jon Metler's expert pick: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 17.5 points
Price: -110 at bet365
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in full desperation mode, trailing 3-0 to the New York Knicks and constantly searching for defensive answers.
So far, nothing has worked. Jalen Brunson has either exploded as a scorer or carved them up as a playmaker, including a 14-assist performance earlier in the series. That’s why I think Karl-Anthony Towns is positioned to benefit most from Cleveland’s likely adjustments in Game 4.
The Cavaliers can’t aggressively help off the wings in the Brunson/Towns two-man game because OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges have consistently punished rotating defenses with catch-and-shoot opportunities created by Brunson.
That should push Cleveland toward a more aggressive drop coverage with Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, forcing them to concede more open perimeter looks to Towns. I price KAT closer to -145 to clear this total.
Jason Logan's expert pick: Evan Mobley Over 1.5 threes
Price: +110 at bet365
Evan Mobley’s inside-out scoring is a strength of this Cavs offense... when the “outside” part is clicking.
The versatile forward went 1-for-6 from distance in Game 3 after knocking down two triples in each of the first two games of the series. New York is happy to let Cleveland jack it up from the perimeter, as the Cavs just haven’t been able to cash in on open shots.
Mobley is getting excellent looks, with all 17 3PAs graded as “open” to “wide open” with no defender within at least four feet. Thirteen of those 3-point shots have come without a Knicks player within six feet. However, he’s a collective 5-for-17 from beyond the arc for the series.
Projections aren’t bullish on Mobley’s makes from downtown, but a desperate game script has Cleveland on the ropes as a home underdog and needing big shots from its stars to stay alive. If Mobley doesn’t top this prop, it won’t be for a lack of clean looks from long range.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Knicks -2.5
Price: -110 at bet365
I’ll keep backing the Knicks to finish the job and send the Cavs home tonight. New York has now won 10 straight playoff games, with nine of those victories coming by double digits.
It's also shown zero interest in dragging out the series, blowing out both the Hawks and Sixers in previous close-out games by 51 and 30 points — with both taking place on the road.
The Knicks have clearly been the better team in this matchup and should stay aggressive from the opening tip vs. a Cleveland team that's running on fumes.
More Knicks vs Cavaliers Game 4 picks
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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