Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction, Picks, Odds for Tonight’s NBA Playoff Game

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 11, 2024 , 05:33 PM ET • 4 min read

As the series shifts to Cleveland, Max Strus and the Cavs are playing with house money as they look to put the Eastern Conference favorites on upset alert. Read more in our Celtics vs. Cavaliers betting picks for tonight's Game 3 showdown.

nba

May 11 • 5:30 PM ET
Max Strus Cleveland Cavaliers NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley helped lift the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday, stealing away home-court advantage from the Boston Celtics.

The Cavs will now look to take advantage of their home court tonight and corner the Celtics into a 2-1 deficit, and we like them to keep things close in a nailbiter at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

Find out more in our Celtics vs Cavaliers predictions and NBA picks for May 11th.

Celtics vs Cavaliers prediction

My best bet
Cavaliers +7.5 (-112 at DraftKings)

My analysis

Of all of the semi-conference matchups, the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers butting heads was deemed the most lopsided. However, after a 29-point performance from Donovan Mitchell, the Cavaliers have evened up the series and stolen away home-court advantage from the heavily favorited Celtics.

Now the question becomes if Cleveland can replicate Thursday’s success. While it's not wise to expect to shoot nearly 25% better from the perimeter as the Cavs did on Thursday (46.4% to Boston’s 22.9%), the Celtics not only shot 24 free throws to the Cavs’ 18 but also shot 15% better from the charity stripe (83.3% to Cleveland’s 68.8%).

Cleveland also managed to win the game convincingly without Jarrett Allen, who has missed five straight games with a rib injury, but participated in shootaround and could very well suit up for tonight's game. 

If the Cavs can get any additional production from the likes of Darius Garland and Max Strus, that would also be a huge benefit. The duo has reached their regular season averages just twice in each of Cleveland’s nine postseason games thus far.

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Celtics vs Cavaliers same-game parlay (SGP)

Cavaliers +7.5

Max Strus Over 1.5 threes

Al Horford Under 9.5 points

After averaging just 6.3 points in the first four games of the opening round, Strus came alive and averaged 13 ppg in the final three games of the series.

In Games 5 and 7 in particular, he chipped in a total of seven 3-pointers. Meanwhile, if Allen does indeed manage to play, Al Horford will have his hands full matching up against both Allen and the defensive prowess of Evan Mobley.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Celtics vs Cavaliers odds

Celtics vs Cavaliers live odds

Get the latest Celtics vs Cavaliers NBA playoff odds for Game 3.

Celtics vs Cavaliers opening odds

  • Spread: Boston -7.5 (-110) | Cleveland +7.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Boston -300 | Cleveland +250
  • Over/Under: Over 213.5 (-105) | Under 213.5 (-115)

Celtics vs Cavaliers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Cleveland is 9-4 ATS as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
  • Boston has slightly favored Overs on the year at 46-43 (51.7%), putting them slightly above average league-wide in that regard.
  • The Cavaliers are the NBA's third-friendliest Over team on the season at 25-18-1 (58.1%) but have gone an even 4-4 on totals as a home underdog.

Celtics vs Cavaliers trend

The Cavaliers have hit the 4Q game total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.70 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Cavaliers.

Celtics vs Cavaliers game info

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Date: Saturday, 5-11-2024
Tip-off: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC

Celtics vs Cavaliers latest injuries

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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