The Milwaukee Bucks’ season hasn’t gone exactly as planned, and the road ahead doesn’t get any easier when the Boston Celtics visit Fiserv Forum tonight.
Sam Hauser went off for 23 points and five triples in Wednesday’s win over the Miami Heat, and my Celtics vs. Bucks predictions expect him to build on that performance and hit the Over on a modest scoring line.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Eastern Conference showdown on Friday, April 3.
Celtics vs Bucks prediction
Celtics vs Bucks best bet: Sam Hauser Over 7.5 points (-125)
Sam Hauser has taken on an expanded role in 2025-26, averaging career highs in minutes (24.7), points (9.1) and triples (2.5). He finished with 23 points in Wednesday’s win over the Miami Heat, as he knocked down 5-of-7 triples. I’m not simply chasing Hauser’s hot night, as he’s scored 7+ points in five straight contests.
On the season, Hauser has been far more productive as a scorer on the road than at home, averaging 7.9 points at TD Garden and 10.2 at all other locations. He’s recorded 8+ points in 40 of 73 games overall, including 23 of 38 on the road. Hauser has four more games with exactly seven points - all on the road.
Over the last 10 games, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 10th-most points (121), second-best three-point percentage (40.6) and third-most three-pointers (15.7). Milwaukee’s 123.2 defensive rating is 25th.
Over his last five games, Hauser has knocked down 2.6 triples on 48.1% shooting from beyond the arc, and he’s got an advantageous matchup to stay hot from deep against Milwaukee’s poor perimeter defense. The Boston Celtics could cruise to a comfortable victory, allowing Hauser to see more run in the second half and get more opportunities to let it fly.
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Celtics vs Bucks same-game parlay
On the season, the Celtics sport the slowest pace, and the Bucks sport the eighth-slowest.
Boston ranks top-10 in a number of key defensive categories, including points allowed and defensive rating, while the shorthanded Bucks will have trouble scoring without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr. and Bobby Portis.
Boston ranks in the top-12 in offensive, defensive and net ratings over their last seven road games, and Milwaukee ranks in the bottom-six in all three categories across their last seven at home.
The Celtics have won their last two games against the Bucks by 27 and 28 points, and tonight’s final matchup of the season should be a blowout in favor of the healthier and deeper visiting team.
Celtics vs Bucks SGP
- Sam Hauser Over 7.5 points
- Under 217
- Celtics -17.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Celtics Soar
Over his last six games, Neemias Queta has averaged 11.2 points and 9.3 rebounds, including a 15/10 average in three road games. Queta has recorded at least 10 points and nine rebounds in two of his last three away from Boston.
Derrick White has failed to reach 16 points in seven straight contests, but he can get back on track with a favorable matchup tonight. He’s scored 16+ in 38 of 72 contests. White is dishing a career-best 5.5 assists per game, and he’s reached 5+ helpers in 25 of 35 road contests.
Celtics vs Bucks SGP
- Sam Hauser Over 7.5 points
- Neemias Queta Over 9.5 points
- Neemias Queta Over 8.5 rebounds
- Derrick White Over 15.5 points
- Derrick White Over 4.5 assists
Celtics vs Bucks odds
- Spread: Boston -17.5 (-110) | Milwaukee +17.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Boston -2200 | Milwaukee +1100
- Over/Under: Over 217 (-110) | Under 217 (-110)
Celtics vs Bucks betting trend to know
The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Bucks.
How to watch Celtics vs Bucks
| Location | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Friday, April 3, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSB, FDSN-WI |
Celtics vs Bucks latest injuries
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