The Los Angeles Dodgers are road favorites over the Milwaukee Brewers ahead of today's 5 p.m. ET first pitch at American Family Field.
My Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction and MLB picks back Los Angeles to knot the series at one game apiece thanks to the pitching of Yoshinobu Yamamoto on Oct. 12.
Dodgers vs Brewers prediction: Dodgers moneyline
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With Los Angeles Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the hill in the playoffs, I’m backing the Dodgers to 60%.
Los Angeles has won in 10 of Yamamoto’s 11 postseason appearances over the past three years, and the go-to righty has posted a high-end 3.21 xERA and 3.39 xFIP along the way.
He’s limited opposing hitters to pedestrian .225 wOBA and .098 ISO during the 63-inning run, too.
Obviously, the Milwaukee Brewers are still playing for a reason, but starter Logan Henderson wasn’t sharp in his playoff debut with three walks to go along with a 4.22 xERA and 5.71 xFIP across five frames.
COVERS INTEL: Los Angeles Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto has held the Milwaukee Brewers to a minuscule .283 xwOBA and .103 xISO during this career.
Dodgers vs Brewers combo
I fully expect the Los Angeles lineup to put runs on the board against Henderson. The Dodgers led the majors in wOBA against righties during the regular season and xwOBA against righties during the playoffs.
The Brewers offense also checks in second and third in those respective metrics, so I expect Milwaukee chipping in to send this total Over the number tonight.
Turning to Dodgers star Freddie Freeman, he’s having another solid postseason, with five hits, three runs, and two RBI across five games, while posting a team-high .522 xwOBA.
Dodgers vs Brewers combo
- Dodgers moneyline
- Over 6.5
- Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Dodgers vs Brewers home run prediction: Shohei Ohtani
Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani is still looking for his first postseason homer, despite a solid 41.7% hard-hit rate and eight long flies in the 2025 playoffs.
He’s also posted a respectable .458 expected slugging percentage against Henderson across six plate appearances, and it’s a matter of when, not if, Ohtani leaves the yard during this series.
I’d recommend an Ohtani home run down to 27%.
Dodgers vs Brewers player prop: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
In addition to the highlighted strong start to the playoffs, Freeman has also shown off with a .375 wOBA and .187 ISO against righties over the past three regular seasons.
Freeman’s spot in the heart of the Los Angeles lineup is a boon for scoring and driving in runs, too, and he’s up to an elite .416 xwOBA across his past 35 postseason games.
I’d recommend this Over to 48%.
Dodgers vs Brewers market trends
Here is how trusted traders at Polymarket are dealing on this matchup. Follow the smart money in the widget below to help inform your Dodgers vs. Brewers prediction.
- Top picks: 137-114, +62.48 units
- Combos: 13-35, +9.77 units
Dodgers vs Brewers weather
The roof will be open at American Family Field tonight, and the forecast calls for unseasonably warm, summer-like conditions around 77°F with partly sunny skies at first pitch. A gentle 8 to 14 mph cross breeze will blow, and a weak front brings a slight chance of late-evening precipitation.
Dodgers vs Brewers odds
- Moneyline: Dodgers 56% | Brewers 46%
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (42%) | Brewers +1.5 (59%)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (55%) | Under 6.5 (46%)
Dodgers vs Brewers trend
The Dodgers have won 18 of their last 25 games (+5.40 Units / 10% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Brewers.
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How to watch Dodgers vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Monday, Oct. 12, 2026 |
| First pitch | 5 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-0, 1.29 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Logan Henderson (0-0, 1.80 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Brewers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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