Both the Philadelphia 76ers and the Houston Rockets desperately need a win tonight, but with Joel Embiid sidelined due to illness, Philadelphia faces a stiff test to snap Houston’s seven-game winning streak.
My 76ers vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks expect Philadelphia’s weaknesses to show early, including star point guard Tyrese Maxey struggling from deep on Thursday, April 9.
76ers vs Rockets prediction
76ers vs Rockets best bet: Tyrese Maxey Under 2.5 threes (+102)
In a week filled with two-way players seeing ample playing time and sportsbooks worrying about over-exposure to Unders on player props, it is a bit refreshing to see a mispriced prop like this.
Tyrese Maxey is a solid shooter. Before his pinkie injury in early March, the Philadelphia 76ers’ guard was shooting 37.3% from deep, making 3.3 per game.
However, Maxey has not been humming since his return, connecting on just 10-for-32 attempts from deep in his last six contests. Those struggles have been further emphasized when Joel Embiid is sidelined, as Maxey is just 3-for-10 from distance in those two matchups.
Those facts alone would justify this bet, but then realizing Maxey is about to play the Houston Rockets cements this value.
The Rockets rank No. 7 in the NBA in limiting opponents’ attempts from deep, giving up 3-pointers on just 40% of foes’ shot attempts. Houston is also No. 5 in opponent 3-point percentage, with teams making just 35% of those long-range attempts.
This prop would be too high against just about any opponent; at plus-money, it is aggressively mispriced against the Rockets.
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76ers vs Rockets same-game parlay
Houston is currently riding a seven-game winning streak, which has happened to see six Overs cash.
76ers vs Rockets SGP
- Tyrese Maxey Under 2.5 threes
- Over 227
- Rockets moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Pack It In Philly
Philadelphia is desperately trying to stay in the preferred Play-In game in the East. It holds the tiebreaker against both Orlando and Charlotte, but it cannot afford to lose more than one of its remaining three games.
Combining the Houston spread with Unders on Maxey’s and VJ Edgecombe’s points props is a correlated thought: if the Rockets build a healthy lead, the 76ers may fold early to better set themselves up for success tomorrow in Indiana and on Sunday against the Bucks.
76ers vs Rockets SGP
- Tyrese Maxey Under 2.5 threes
- Over 227
- Rockets -5.5
- Tyrese Maxey Under 28.5 points
- VJ Edgecombe Under 15.5 points
76ers vs Rockets odds
- Spread: 76ers +5.5 (-110) | Rockets -5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: 76ers +180 | Rockets -220
- Over/Under: Over 227 (-110) | Under 227 (-110)
76ers vs Rockets betting trend to know
Houston is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games. Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Rockets.
How to watch 76ers vs Rockets
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
| Date | Thursday, April 9, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSP, SCHN |
76ers vs Rockets latest injuries
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