The 2026-27 NBA season has yet to begin, but speculation is already underway regarding the 2027 NBA Draft odds.
One year after having fabulous freshman Darryn Peterson in their lineup, the Kansas Jayhawks have reloaded with Tyran Stokes, the current favorite to go first overall in the 2027 NBA Draft.
Let's look at the latest NBA odds.
2027 NBA Draft odds to be first overall pick
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2027 NBA Draft favorites
It's Tyran Stokes vs. the field, at least according to the early projections at Kalshi. Stokes has been assigned a 47% probability as the top-ranked prospect in this year's class, and playing at Kansas promises him plenty of exposure.
Caleb Holt is second at 15%. The five-star recruit and three-time FIBA gold medal winner will ply his trade with Arizona.
Jordan Smith Jr. rounds out the Top 3 at 11%. Early accolades for the Arkansas commit are astonishing; five-star recruit, 2025 FIBA Under-19 World Cup Defensive MVP, and 2026 National High School Player of the Year.
NBA Draft trends
- Positions have been reasonably well-distributed among the No. 1 picks. Over the past 22 NBA Drafts, 10 have been forwards, seven guards, and five centers.
- "One-and-done" college freshmen make up the overwhelming majority of recent top picks, being selected No. 1 in 17 of the past 20 seasons since high schoolers were ruled ineligible.
- Among NCAA schools, Duke leads the all-time count with five first-overall picks, including Paolo Banchero in 2022.
Popular NBA futures markets
History of first overall NBA Draft picks
Cooper Flagg's selection in 2025 ended a two-year stretch of international players taken No. 1 — after just one such player (Andrea Bargnani, 2006) was selected in the previous 17 years.
| Year | Player | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 |  AJ Dybantsa |
PF |
| 2025 |  Cooper Flagg |
SF |
| 2024 |  Zaccharie Riscacher |
SF |
| 2023 |  Victor Wembanyama |
C |
| 2022 |  Paolo Banchero |
PF |
| 2021 |  Cade Cunningham |
PG |
| 2020 |  Anthony Edwards |
SG |
| 2019 |  Zion Williamson |
PF |
| 2018 |  Deandre Ayton |
C |
| 2017 |  Markelle Fultz |
PG |
NBA Draft Odds FAQ
The 2027 NBA Draft should happen some time in late June.
Tyran Stokes of the Kansas Jayhawks is favored to go first overall in 2027.
The official location for the 2027 NBA Draft has not been finalized.
The three worst teams in the NBA all have a 14% chance of winning the first-overall pick.
Duke leads the all-time NCAA tally with five players taken first overall.
