NBA Coach of the Year Odds 2026-27: Kerr in Front Early

NBA Coach of the Year odds are on the board at Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.

It's Steve Kerr of the Golden State Warriors sitting as the favorite with the regular season in its nascent stages.

Let's take a look at the latest NBA Coach of the Year odds.

NBA Coach of the Year odds 2026-27

Coach	Probability
Steve Kerr	28%
Taylor Jenkins	14%
Darko Rajaković	5%
Rick Carlisle	5%
Erik Spoelstra	5%
Charles Lee	4%
Mitch Johnson	4%
Will Hardy	4%
Brian Keefe	4%
Doug Christie	4%

Odds from Polymarket as of 10-20. For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

This market remains in its still relatively early stages, with limited trading volume contributing to sharp swings in percentages. At times, some prices may look unusual compared to more mature markets. The following serves primarily as a look at an emerging market and the information it's signaling, rather than as trading advice at current prices.

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NBA Coach of the Year favorites

Steve Kerr (28%)

Golden State enters the season with lower expectations, but key veterans in Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, and Draymond Green still central to its plans. Steve Kerr has an opportunity to prove his coaching ability by maximizing an experienced roster and developing younger contributors.

His emphasis on improving ball movement, cutting down turnovers, and establishing a more consistent identity could help the Warriors outperform preseason projections. If Kerr navigates early-season injury challenges and guides Golden State back into the Western Conference playoff picture, his ability to revitalize a veteran team could make him a compelling Coach of the Year candidate.

Taylor Jenkins (14%)

Taylor Jenkins has an opportunity to win 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year by transforming the Milwaukee Bucks into a playoff contender during their first season without Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Jenkins built a successful culture in Memphis and lead the Grizzlies to a 56-win campaign in 2021-22. He has the experience to maximize a re-tooled roster featuring Tyler Herro, Myles Turner, and some promising young talent.

NBA Coach of the Year opening odds

• Chris Finch: 97%

• Nick Nurse: 6%

• Charles Lee: 4%

• Darko Rajaković: 4%

• Mitch Johnson: 4%

• Rick Carlisle: 4%

• Will Hardy: 4%

• Brian Keefe: 3%

• Doug Christie: 3%

• Erik Spoelstra: 3%

Popular NBA futures markets

• NBA Championship odds
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NBA Coach of the Year trends

• Mike Brown's 2023 victory was the first time in 10 years (excluding COVID-altered schedules  — 2019-20, 2020-21) that the Coach of the Year's team hadn't won 55+ games.
  
  
• Four coaches (Mike Budenholzer, Gregg Popovich, Tom Thibodeau, Mike Brown) have won COY multiple times since 2009.
  
  
• No rookie head coach has won Coach of the Year since Doc Rivers (2000).
  
  
• Dating back to the award's inception in 1963, no coach has ever won COY in back-to-back seasons.

NBA Coach of the Year history

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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