NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds are on the board at Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
Ajay Mitchell is favored in the very early stages of the market, but these odds are bound to move often as the season gets underway.
Let's take a look at the latest NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds.
Sixth Man of the Year odds 2026-27
| Player |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Ajay Mitchell |
17% |
 Jerami Grant |
15% |
 Isaiah Joe |
15% |
| Daniss Jenkins |
15% |
 Aaron Wiggins |
15% |
 Nikola Vucevic |
13% |
 Tim Hardaway Jr. |
13% |
 Payton Pritchard |
9% |
 Dylan Harper |
6% |
 Ayo Dosunmo |
6% |
Odds as of 10-19.
This market remains in its still relatively early stages, with limited trading volume contributing to sharp swings in percentages. At times, some prices may look unusual compared to more mature markets. The following serves primarily as a look at an emerging market and the information it's signaling, rather than as trading advice at current prices.
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Sixth Man of the Year favorites
Ajay Mitchell (17%)
During the 2025-26 season, Mitchell appeared in 57 games, averaging 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per contest while playing a key role in Oklahoma City’s playoff run. Mitchell is expected to remain the Thunder’s leading bench spark. However, occasional starts and possible workload management could influence his production throughout the season.
Jerami Grant (15%)
Jerami Grant could emerge as a Sixth Man of the Year contender if he embraces a high-scoring role off the bench with the Memphis Grizzlies. The veteran forward averaged 18.6 points and 3.5 rebounds per game in 57 appearances with the Trail Blazers last season, demonstrating the offensive firepower needed to make an impact in the award race.
Covers NBA betting tools
NBA Sixth Man of the Year opening odds
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Payton Pritchard: 97%
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Jrue Holiday: 15%
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Keldon Johnson: 15%
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Nikola Vucevic: 15%
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Dylan Harper: 8%
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Ace Bailey: 4%
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Ajay Mitchell: 4%
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Anfernee Simons: 4%
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Ayo Dosunmu: 4%
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Bobby Portis: 4%
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NBA 6MOY betting trends
- Guards have absolutely owned this award recently, winning 6MOY in 10 of the past 13 seasons.
- Naz Reid's 2024 win marked only the fourth 6MOY win by a center in its 41-year history (Montrezl Harrell '20, Roy Tarpley '88, and Bill Walton '86).
- Both Jamal Crawford ('10, '14, '16) and Lou Williams ('15, '18, '19) are recent three-time winners, so voter fatigue may matter less in this market.
How is the NBA Sixth Man of the Year decided?
The NBA Sixth Man of the Year is awarded to the league's best bench player each season. A variety of factors go into evaluating who the top reserve is:
Consistent statistical impact
The 6MOY must consistently provide a significant impact on the game whenever entering from the bench. This impact should be palpable and discernible in terms of offensive, defensive, or playmaking contributions.
Scoring prowess
The candidate should display an ability to contribute significantly to the team's scoring efforts. This can be evidenced by an impressive points-per-game average, especially in crucial moments of the game. Scoring tends to be the single most important stat for Sixth Man voting.
Versatility
The awardee should demonstrate the capability to adapt to various game situations. This encompasses two-way play, as well as adaptability to different styles and opposing lineups.
Role-player mentality
The recipient must exhibit a selfless approach to the game, willingly accepting their role as a substitute player and deferring to stars, while able to fill a variety of needs for team success.
Impact on team success
The award recipient should have a discernible impact on the team's overall success during the regular season, especially in terms of on-off metrics that measure a player’s impact on their team’s bottom line, and value relative to potential replacements.
NBA Sixth Man of the Year history
| Year | NBA 6MOY Winner |
|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Keldon Johnson |
| 2024-25 | Payton Pritchard |
| 2023-24 | Naz Reid |
| 2022-23 | Malcolm Brogdon |
| 2021-22 | Tyler Herro |
| 2020-21 |  Jordan Clarkson |
| 2019-20 |  Montrezl Harrell |
| 2018-19 | Lou Williams |
| 2017-18 | Lou Williams |
| 2016-17 |  Eric Gordon |
NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds FAQ
Lou Williams and Jamal Crawford lead the all-time 6MOY tally, each winning three times.
