Yankees vs Athletics Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

With New York's offense set to thrive at Sutter Health Park, the Bronx Bombers should pull away in tonight’s matchup.

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst
May 9, 2025 • 14:31 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99).

The New York Yankees and the Athletics begin a weekend series in Northern California tonight.

It will be a homecoming for Aaron Judge, as he'll be playing in Sacramento for the first time in his major league career—— fifty miles from his high school. The Yankees will need him to break out of a minor slump to extend their two-game win streak. 

Meanwhile, the A's will be looking to break out of a two-game losing streak, but my Yankees vs. Athletics predictions don't like their chances. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Friday, May 9.

Yankees vs Athletics prediction

My Yankees vs Athletics best bet: Yankees -1.5 (+105 at Caesars)

In case you didn't already know by now, the temporary home of the Athletics has become a hitter's paradise where offense reigns supreme. Runs across the board are up over the last month in baseball, and that definitely applies to Sutter Health Park.

With that in the periphery, I've been waiting for the New York Yankees to play their first series in this park. It would mark the closest game Aaron Judge has likely played to his hometown, and the Yankees are extremely well-suited to play in this park. 

Tonight, we have a great dynamic when it comes to pinpointing a clear edge: a flyball starter against a groundball pitcher. 

Naturally, playing in a park like Sutter Health — which has the highest park factor for night games in the MLB this season at 117 — is a scary endeavor for flyball pitchers. The ball carries more, and the fences are more shallow, increasing the likelihood of homers and extra-base hits. 

Temperatures in Sacramento on Friday are also expected to hang in the upper 80s. That won't be comforting. 

Meanwhile, the Yankees boast the most homers on the season, averaging 1.68 per game. According to the BatX, Trent Grisham, Cody Bellinger, and Ben Rice also all see a boost in their expected offensive play because of tonight's venue. 

This is all spells doom for Osvaldo Bido, as the extreme flyball pitcher will go to the mound with a hard-hit rate below league average. The A's right-hander also throws the fastball over 40% of the time, making things even better for the Yankees.

On the other side is Will Warren, whose improving ground ball clip is enough for me to look past his flaw, especially when New York's offense should do the majority of the heavy lifting. 

I'm making Yankees -1.5 my third two-unit play of the season.  

Yankees vs Athletics same-game parlay (SGP)

Yankees -1.5

Ben Rice to hit a home run

The home run prices have finally been adjusted for Sacramento, but Rice still has some value. 

We'll see how much Bido throws the fastball tonight against a team that most pitchers shy away from, but even so, Rice matches up very well against his changeup and slider.

According to Bat X, Sutter Health Park provides a nice boost to lefties. I'd play this parlay to +405. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Yankees vs Athletics odds

Yankees vs Athletics live odds

Yankees vs Athletics opening odds

  • Moneyline: New York -140 | Athletics +130
  • Run line: New York -1.5 (+108) | Athletics +1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-110) | Under 10.5 (-110)

Yankees vs Athletics trend

The Athletics have hit the F5 team total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Athletics.

How to watch Yankees vs Athletics and game info

Location Sutter Health Park, Sacramento, California
Date Friday, 5-9-2025
First pitch 10:05 p.m. ET
TV MLB Network, YES, NBCSCA
Yankees starting pitcher Will Warren
(1-2, 5.65 ERA)
Athletics starting pitcher Osvaldo Bido
(2-2, 4.71 ERA)

Yankees vs Athletics latest injuries

Yankees vs Athletics weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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