Tigers vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 22, 2026 , 12:25 PM ET • 4 min read

Are the Cubs due for regression after putting up 11 runs against the Tigers last night? Our MLB expert sure thinks so.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
DET
40 %
CHC
60 %
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Detroit +111 Detroit +111
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Keider Montero Detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Detroit Tigers pitcher Keider Montero (54) throws a pitch.

After getting lit up last night by the Chicago Cubs, I expect the Tigers to come out with a chip on their shoulder this evening.

My Tigers vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, July 22, see Detroit pulling off the upset on the road.

Who will win Tigers vs Cubs today: Tigers moneyline (+111)

There is no way I can ignore the Chicago Cubs scoring 11 runs last night and not take the Detroit Tigers tonight, especially with them drawing Colin Rea.

The Cubs right hander has been brutal all season, and over his last three starts, he owns a 4.41 ERA, 4.87 xERA, and 1.47 WHIP.

I think the top of the Tigers lineup can hold it down, even with most of the offense going cold lately. Asking the Cubs to replicate last night's success at the plate is a lot to ask for, especially after seeing several teams go cold following a 10+ run performance the day before.

Give me the Tigers.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Tigers right hander Keider Montero owns a 2.29 xERA and 1.13 WHIP over his last three starts, while allowing a 0% barrel rate during that stretch.
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Tigers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-125)

Typically, a team coming off a ten-plus run outburst suggests a natural offensive regression that favors the Under, but tonight’s matchup presents a prime spot to shatter that.

Standing in the way of a quiet evening is Colin Rea, whose recent outings have featured an alarmingly high WHIP and elevated home run rate. Throwing hittable, middle-middle pitches to a Detroit lineup primed to bounce back makes a low-scoring affair unlikely.

With Rea vulnerable to hard contact and the Chicago bats already in a groove, expect early offensive fireworks to push this game over the 7.5 total with ease.

Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • 2026 MLB Season: 328-607, +1.60 Units

Tigers vs Cubs weather

It is looking like a mild evening on the Northside of Chicago, with the wind lightly blowing in and temperatures sitting in the sub 70s.

Tigers vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Detroit +111 | Chicago -113
  • Run line: Detroit +1.5 (-199) | Chicago -1.5 (+194)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-117 | Under 7.5 (+115)

Tigers vs Cubs trend

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Cubs.

How to watch Tigers vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago,  IL
Date Wednesday, July 22, 2026
First pitch 8:10 p.m. ET
TV ESPN
Tigers starting pitcher Keider Montero
(6-5, 3.22 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(7-6, 4.74 ERA)

Tigers vs Cubs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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