Kicking off the week with a 2-1 day — no complaints, but Tomoyuki Sugano’s Under 5.5 hits missed by the hook after one bad inning, and the sweep was in sight. Let’s keep it rolling into a full-slate Tuesday, featuring plenty of name-brand arms worth fading or following.
Here are my top MLB player props and starting pitcher props for Tuesday, August 26:
Josh's best starting pitcher props for August 26
Corbin 6+ hits allowed (+125)
Boyd o1.5 walks allowed (+130)
Waldrep u17.5 outs (-115)
Angels vs. Rangers
The angle: Short leash or full leash, there are paths for this Over
The move: Patrick Corbin 6+ hits allowed (+125 at DraftKings)
Patrick Corbin started the season quietly, silencing critics, but it’s been a disaster lately. He’s failed to record 15 outs in four straight starts, coughing up 25 hits and 17 runs over just 13.1 IP.
His hits allowed line is set at 4.5, but the better value is in the milestone markets — grab 6+ hits at +125. He’s cleared this number in three of his last four despite pitch counts in the 60s and 70s (77, 62, 78, 74).
Even if Bochy gives him the quick hook again, the damage could already be done. THE BAT projects 88 pitches, which could be enough for 15 outs and six hits if he’s even remotely hittable — and lately, he has been. The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Angels isn’t great, but L.A. is bad enough to hang around and chip away.
Whether Corbin gets 12 outs or 18, multiple paths to 6+ hits make this a strong plus-money play.
Cubs vs. Giants
The angle: Boyd's control issues are surfacing, and regression should follow
The move: Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 walks allowed (+130 at DraftKings)
Matthew Boyd has been a pleasant surprise for the Chicago Cubs, but there’s regression coming. His BABIP, strand rate, and HR/FB rate are all running well below his career norms. Simply put, he’s been lucky.
From 2020–2024, he’s issued 91 walks in 263 innings — and his recent walk rate is trending upward. After hitting the Under on this prop in 8 of his last 10, we’re getting value at +130 on the Over.
He faces a disciplined San Francisco Giants lineup on the road, and his splits support the play: 2.6 BB/9 on the road vs. 1.4 at Wrigley. He just walked three vs. Milwaukee and is projected for 1.52 BBs on just 86 pitches by THE BAT — that projection feels like the floor.
Buy the dip — this number is mispriced.
Braves vs. Marlins
The angle: This might be the luckiest man in baseball right now
The move: Hurston Waldrep Under 17.5 outs (-135 at DraftKings)
Hurston Waldrep is running pure luck right now: .220 BABIP, 90% strand rate, and a 0.71 ERA. That’s not sustainable — and the market is finally catching up.
His outs recorded line was around 15.5 when he broke on the scene, has ticked up to 17.5, and today saw another move up. Time to fade the inflation.
Yes, there’s a Miami Marlins tax, but this is still a great sell-high spot. Waldrep got 21 outs on just 87 pitches vs. the White Sox, but he’s due for command issues to resurface — he walked 50 batters in 91 Triple-A innings this year.
If you can’t get 17.5, I’d still take Under 16.5 at even money or better.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
