Phillies vs Mets Home Run Predictions: Best Sluggers to Go Deep Tuesday

Our expert MLB predictions expect sluggers Mark Vientos, Alec Bohm, and Mark Castellanos to go deep tonight!

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Aug 26, 2025 • 10:45 ET • 4 min read
Mark Castellanos of the Philadelphia Phillies
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets play the second of a three-game set at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 26, and I’ve got three home run MLB player props for Game 2 of the series.

Mets slugger Mark Vientos is scorching hot and headlines for my top MLB picks tonight.

Best Phillies vs Mets home run props tonight

  • Mets Mark Vientos (+380)
  • Phillies Alec Bohm (+420)
  • Phillies Nick Castellanos (+380)
  • 💲 +10000 parlay💲

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HR Prop #1: Mark Vientos

+380 at Caesars

New York Mets third baseman Mark Vientos is cruising along an eight-game hitting streak with five long flies, and Philadelphia Phillies lefty Jesus Luzardo has been much more susceptible to right-handed hitters with a 1.16 HR/9  and .425 slugging percentage allowed.

This isn’t an out-of-nowhere heater from Vientos, either.

He posted a high-end .246 ISO against southpaws last year, too.

HR Prop #2: Alec Bohm

+420 at Caesars

Phillies third baseman Alec Bohm is sporting an eight-game hitting streak since returning from a rib fracture that cost him nearly a month of action. He’s posted a respectable .161 ISO during the stretch and has a homer off Mets lefty Sean Manaea in his career.

Bohm also posted a solid .236 ISO against lefties the past two years, so there’s positive regression ahead of his .183 mark in 2025.

HR Prop #3: Nick Castellanos

+380 at Caesars

While there’s no sugarcoating Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos’ poor numbers this season, he’s 5-for-15 with three home runs against New York Mets starter Sean Manaea during his career.

Additionally, Castellanos posted a solid.357 wOBA and .195 ISO against lefties through his first three seasons with the Phillies, so there’s likely statistical correction coming to his respective .164 and .308 marks this year.

Tonight’s Phillies vs Mets HR parlay

Mark Vientos 1+ home runs

Alec Bohm 1+ home runs

Nick Castellanos 1+ home runs

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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