Phillies vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds — Tuesday, August 26

The NL East battle between the Phillies and Mets continues tonight, and our expert MLB predictions expect a high-scoring affair at Citi Field.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Aug 26, 2025 • 09:11 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Aug 26 • 7:10 PM ET
NYM
43 %
PHI
57 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o8.5 (+105)
See Today's Picks
Jesus Luzardo of the Philadelphia Phillies
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets will play their second of a three-game set at Citi Field on Tuesday, August 26. 

It was a high-scoring series opener, and my top MLB picks and Phillies vs. Mets predictions are calling for more crooked numbers popping up on the scoreboard tonight.

Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, August 26. 

Phillies vs Mets prediction

Phillies vs Mets best bet: Over 8.5 (+105)

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets combined for 16 runs in the series opener on Monday, and both teams have been dialed in at the dish in August.

New York paces the majors with a .364 wOBA while averaging 6.05 runs per game, and the Philly checks in with a fourth-ranked .343 wOBA and an average of 5.04 per.

Neither club is sending an ace to the hill, either.

Philadelphia lefty Jesus Luzardo sports a mediocre 4.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP for the campaign, while New York southpaw Sean Manaea has posted respective 5.15 and 1.12 marks.

Manaea has allowed 17 runs across 19 1/3 innings over his past four starts, too.

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Phillies vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)

With Manaea struggling, I like the Phillies' bats to do the heavy lifting for the Over and pull away from the Mets tonight. Additionally, Luzardo has been far better on the highway with a 3.30 ERA, and Philly has covered the run line in 35 of its past 64 games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI).

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Mets third baseman Mark Vientos is rolling along an eight-game hitting streak while batting .387. He also holds the platoon advantage against Luzardo, and the Phillies' southpaw has surrendered a .271 batting average to right-handed hitters compared to a .189 mark to lefties.

Phillies vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -115 | New York -105
  • Run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+145) | New York +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Phillies vs Mets trend

The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the run line in 35 of their last 64 games (+6.65 Units / 9% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Mets.

How to watch Phillies vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Date Tuesday, August 26, 2025
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-PHI, SNY
Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo
(12-6, 4.10 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Sean Manaea
(1-2, 5.16 ERA)

Phillies vs Mets latest injuries

Phillies vs Mets weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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