Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 7, 2026 , 09:58 AM ET • 4 min read

The Red Sox have crushed left-handed pitching in recent weeks, and that should continue against Nolan Schultz.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
BOS
45 %
CHW
55 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Boston -125 Boston -125
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Ceddanne Rafaela Boston Red Sox MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ceddanne Rafaela runs out a triple against the Rockies.

The Boston Red Sox have won three consecutive games and are -125 favorites to extend that streak to four tonight.

My Red Sox vs. White Sox predictions and MLB picks expect Boston's in-form offense and starting pitching advantage to lead to another victory in Chicago. 

Who will win Red Sox vs White Sox today: Red Sox moneyline (-125)

Noah Schultz is having a rough go. He's allowed at least three runs in five consecutive starts, only completing five innings once.

He allowed a homer in four of those games and issued 3+ walks three times. He's giving up power, and he's giving up a ton of unnecessary baserunners.

The Boston Red Sox are sixth in wOBA and fourth in ISO vs. lefties since June 1. They’re in a great spot to score in bulk and make life easier on Payton Tolle, who hasn’t been as sharp lately.

Back Boston to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Payton Tolle is enjoying a strong rookie campaign, ranking in the 81st percentile in xERA.

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Red Sox vs White Sox Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

The Red Sox have a great power profile against left-handed pitching, ranking eighth in OPS, fourth in ISO, and first in fly ball rate over the last five weeks.

Schultz sits in the 10th percentile in xERA, and the White Sox have several lefty relievers in their bullpen, making it a real possibility that six or seven innings are pitched by lefties.

The Chicago White Sox have excelled against lefties all season, leading the majors in ISO. Tolle has posted an xERA of 4.0 or higher in four of his last five and will be tested.

Bet this to -115.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 51-41, -0.15 units
  • Over/Under bets: 50-39-4, +6.39 units

Red Sox vs White Sox weather

Temperatures in the mid-70s are expected with slight winds blowing inwards. Small boost to the offenses.

Red Sox vs White Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -125 | White Sox +105
  • Run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+135) | White Sox +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Red Sox vs White Sox trend

The White Sox have cashed the Over in 30 of the last 50 games for +10.30 units and a 19% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. White Sox.

How to watch Red Sox vs White Sox and game info

Location Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Date Tuesday, July 7, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV NESN, CHSN
Red Sox starting pitcher Payton Tolle
(4-6, 3.39 ERA)
White Sox starting pitcher Noah Schultz
(2-5, 5.86ERA)

Red Sox vs White Sox latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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