Ceddanne Rafaela has taken a huge step forward in his sophomore campaign and is a key cog for a retooling Boston team in the thick of a playoff race.
My Red Sox vs. Cubs predictions see Rafaela building on his recent success with another big game at the dish.
Find out more in my MLB picks for July 20.
Red Sox vs Cubs prediction
My Red Sox vs Cubs best bet: Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI (+110 at Caesars)
The Boston Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games, and the play of Ceddanne Rafaela at the dish is a big reason why.
Rafaela has averaged a whopping 3.7 H+R+RBI during that span, clearing Over 1.5 in eight of 10 games along the way.
He failed to get the job done in either of the last two games — both losses — but has a good chance to get right back on the horse against Cade Horton.
Horton has allowed a .271 average, .208 ISO, and 52% hard hit rate against right-handed batters this season. That plays into the hands of Rafaela, who has been much more potent vs. RHPs.
Not to mention, Rafaela profiles very well against Horton’s pitch mix. The Chicago Cubs SP throws almost exclusively sweepers and fastballs vs. righties, and Rafaela owns tremendous numbers vs. those two offerings.
Rafaela is sporting a .367 average, .480 wOBA, and 62% hard hit rate vs. sweepers and fastballs over the last two months. Look for him to do real damage this afternoon.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Red Sox vs Cubs same-game parlay (SGP)
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 RBI
Red Sox -1.5
Wilyer Abreu has real pop against right-handed pitchers. Although he doesn’t hit for a crazy average, the power makes him extremely dangerous in any given at bat. He owns a .281 ISO and 57% hard hit rate vs. fastballs and sweepers over the last month, making him a candidate to cause Horton problems.
If we’re backing Rafaela and Abreu to make noise offensively, chances are the Red Sox had a good day at the plate. Add in that Garrett Crochet is starting, and they’re positioned well to grab a convincing win.
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Red Sox vs Cubs odds
Red Sox vs Cubs live odds
Red Sox vs Cubs opening odds
- Moneyline: Boston -135 | Chicago +115
- Run line: Boston -1.5 (+130) | Chicago +1.5 (-154)
- Over/Under: Over 7 | Under 7
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Red Sox vs Cubs trend
Ceddanne Rafaela has averaged 3.4 H+R+RBI over his last five road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Cubs.
How to watch Red Sox vs Cubs and game info
| Location | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Sunday, 7-20-2025 |
| First pitch | 2:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, MARQ |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Garrett Crochet (10-4, 2.23 ERA) |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Cade Horton (3-3, 4.45 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Cubs latest injuries
Red Sox vs Cubs weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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