Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

The Blue Jays' Kevin Gausman appears to be finding his stride as the season rolls on, while Brayan Bello of the Red Sox is going the wrong way. Our MLB betting picks tell you how to take advantage of this apparent starting pitch edge.

Chris Faria - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst
Jun 19, 2024 • 11:10 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Kevin Gausman Toronto Blue Jays MLB
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The Toronto Blue Jays will hand the ball over to Kevin Gausman tonight as they look to prevent a sweep at the hands of the the Boston Red Sox, who have won four straight games.

Gausman is two starts removed from his first career shutout and will look to give Toronto the edge over Boston starter Brayan Bello, who’s hit a rough patch.

Find out if Gausman can get his club on track in my Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, June 19.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction

My best bet
Blue Jays F5 -0.5 (+100 at PROLINE+)

My analysis

Kevin Gausman will be front-and-center for the Toronto Blue Jays in tonight’s series finale as he looks to help his club avoid the sweep against a Boston Red Sox squad that’s heating up with four straight wins and six victories in its last seven outings.

Gausman put up his best start of the season a week and a half ago as he scattered five hits over nine shutout innings against the Athletics. The right-hander took the loss in his last start on June 14 against a pesky Guardians lineup, giving up eight hits and three earned runs over just 5 1/3 innings, but he has been solid over the past couple of months as he’s held opponents to three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 appearances.

The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello to the mound, and the 25-year-old has not fared as well over the last month. Bello has surrendered at least six hits and four earned runs in each of his last three outings while only pitching through the fifth inning once through that span.

He also owns a bloated 6.48 ERA over his last six starts, having allowed at least three earned runs in each of those starts and four or more on four occasions.

Gausman should give Toronto the edge early in the ballgame, and it helps that the Jays have cashed the first five innings moneyline in eight of their last 12 outings.

Blue Jays star player prop

My best bet
Kevin Gausman Over 6.5 strikeouts (+110 at PROLINE+)

Gausman is having a down year in terms of strikeouts, averaging exactly one K per inning pitched (75 Ks in 75 innings) after averaging 1.28 per inning last season (237 Ks in 185 innings). However, the Jays starter has seen his strikeout rate climb since the start of May with 52 Ks in 47 innings.

Gausman has recorded at least six punchouts in six of his last eight starts and should get plenty of whiffs against a Red Sox team that ranks third-worst in the majors in strikeouts per game (9.64).

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Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds

Red Sox vs Blue Jays live odds

Red Sox vs Blue Jays opening odds

  • Run line: Boston +1.5 | Toronto -1.5
  • Moneyline: Boston +100 | Toronto -119
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Red Sox vs Blue Jays spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Blue Jays opened as the home favorite at -119 while betting pushed that number up past -130 at most books by Wednesday morning.
  • Toronto is 12-4 in its last 16 games when playing as the favorite.
  • The total opened at 8 and dipped to 7.5 at some books by Wednesday morning. The Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between the clubs.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays trend

Toronto is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

Red Sox vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Wednesday, 6-19-2024
First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
TV: NESN, Sportsnet
Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
(6-4, 5.00 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
(5-5, 4.08 ERA)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Red Sox vs Blue Jays weather

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