A busy 16-game schedule across the Majors has no shortage of value in my MLB player props analysis.
I'll start things off with Chris Sale, followed by Zebby Matthews and Pete Crow-Armstrong.
See more in my MLB picks for Friday, Sep. 4.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Chris Sale |
Under 1.5 earned runs | +109 |
 Zebby Matthews |
Under 2.5 earned runs | +104 |
 Pete Crow-Armstrong |
Over 0.5 runs | -129 |
Chris Sale Under 1.5 earned runs (+109)
Chris Sale is dealing at the moment. The Atlanta Braves left-hander owns a ridiculous 1.02 FIP over the last month, allowing zero home runs and just 0.67 HR/9.
Sale is dialed in, and the Philadelphia Phillies aren't exactly flourishing offensively. They have an 85 wRC+ over the last week, and Sale has surrendered Under 1.5 earned runs in two of his last three appearances.
The veteran is in line for another gem.
Play down to -110.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Zebby Matthews Under 2.5 earned runs (+104)
Minnesota Twins righty Zebby Matthews is in wonderful form. He's allowed Under 2.5 earned runs in three consecutive outings, and Matthews has posted a 1.92 FIP over his last two appearances.
He hasn't allowed a single home run across those 15 1/3 innings, and Matthews has limited the walks as well.
He'll face the Chicago White Sox tonight, who have disappeared offensively with a 66 wRC+ and .087 ISO in their last seven contests.
This is a clear opportunity for Matthews to put together another quality start.
Play down to -110.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, Twins.TV
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 runs (-129)
Pete Crow-Armstrong continues to strengthen his NL MVP case. The Chicago Cubs slugger has a .545 xwOBA in the last week, and he's reached base safely in seven of his previous eight games.
The Cubbies leadoff hitter is a sparkplug, and he's come across the plate 10 times in the last seven contests.
Chicago is absolutely scorching hot offensively as well, carrying a 164 wRC+ over the last seven days into tonight's matchup against the Miami Marlins.
PCA is consistently getting on base, and the Cubs are driving in runs.
Play this pick up to -150.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Marlins.TV
- Prop picks: 11-7, +4.02
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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