The Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the second matchup of this three-game series at American Family Field.
Despite Paul Skenes toeing the rubber for Pittsburgh, my Pirates vs. Brewers predictions target red-hot Milwaukee in front of the home faithful.
Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, August 12.
Pirates vs Brewers prediction
Pirates vs Brewers best bet: Brewers moneyline (-122 at Pinnacle)
Paul Skenes' presence is the only reason the far superior Milwaukee Brewers are only -122 on the moneyline. However, the Brewers also have a tremendous pitcher in Freddy Peralta to counter the Pittsburgh Pirates ace.
Through 24 starts, Peralta is 13-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally impressive, as the right-hander ranks in the 64th percentile in expected ERA (xERA), 77th in expected batting average (xBA), 80th in average exit velocity, and 89th in hard-hit rate.
That success will continue against the Pirates, against whom Peralta has a 3.41 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over the past 13 meetings.
While the pitching edge still goes to Pittsburgh and Skenes, the gap is far narrower than the hitting disparity. Entering this matchup, the Pirates rank last in the league in runs per game, slugging percentage, OPS, and home runs.
On the other hand, Milwaukee ranks in the top four in scoring, hits, batting average, and on-base percentage.
Pirates vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Brewers moneyline
Christian Yelich to record a run
Brice Turang to record a run
If the Brewers are to win this game, they need to score some runs, and there may not be two better candidates than Christian Yelich and Brice Turang.
Yelich boasts a .375 batting average and a .331 weighted on-base average (wOBA) through eight plate appearances against Skenes. Meanwhile, Turang has scored five runs over his past four games.
Pirates vs Brewers odds
Pirates vs Brewers live odds
Pirates vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: Pittsburgh +110 | Milwaukee -130
- Run line: Pittsburgh +1.5 (-220) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under: Over 7 (-110) | Under 7 (-110)
Pirates vs Brewers trend
Milwaukee has won in eight of Peralta’s past 10 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Brewers.
How to watch Pirates vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Tuesday, August 12, 2025 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SNP, FanDuel Sports Network-Wisconsin |
| Pirates starting pitcher | Paul Skenes (7-8, 1.94 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Freddy Peralta (13-5, 3.03 ERA) |
Pirates vs Brewers latest injuries
Pirates vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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