Braves vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 13, 2026 , 10:54 AM ET • 4 min read

Expect the red-hot Braves bats to lead to a comfortable win today!

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
ATL
75 %
NYM
25 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Atlanta -1.5 (+167) Atlanta -1.5 (+167)
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Martin Perez of the Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Martin Perez of the Atlanta Braves MLB

The Braves still have baseball's best record, but they've now lost three straight games, including Friday's series opener against the last-place Mets. Atlanta will try to even the series and set things right on Saturday.

With a favorable pitching matchup and more than two months of results, I like their chances.

My Braves vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks call for Atlanta to roll.

Who will win Braves vs Mets today: Braves run line -1.5 (+167)

The Atlanta Braves haven't lost more than three straight this season. Even with Ronald Acuna Jr. injured, Atlanta is hitting. They've scored 5 or more in four of the last six games. And they've allowed 3 or fewer in four of the last six as well.  

The New York Mets' Sean Manea is making his first start of the season. In 14 games as a reliever, Manaea has a 5.02 ERA and the highest walk rate and WHIP of his career.

I'm looking for the Braves to tee off. If the run line is over +150, I'll give up the 1.5 to cash in.

Covers COVERS INTEL: On six or more days' rest, Martin Perez has a 5.10 ERA and .287 average against. The only time he's worse is on short rest. For his career, Perez has a 4.23 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and a .272 average against when on schedule. That balloons to 5.13, 1.46, .286 when the schedule changes.  

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Braves vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+101)

The Mets have scored 12 runs in the last two games, although they've allowed 25 in their last four.

Atlanta starter Spencer Strider left Friday's game with an injury after three innings, and yet the Mets' bullpen may be in worse shape. New York used four relievers on Friday, and the Mets' pen has pitched 19.2 innings in the last three games, with a 5.49 ERA.

A Thursday rainout pushed Braves starter Martin Perez back a day. He has struggled as a starter when his routine changes. Marcus Semien, Juan Soto, and Bo Bichette are a combined .307 with .853 OPS against Perez. Take the Over if it's plus.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 20-24, -2.99 units
  • Over/Under bets: 24-24, -1.43 units

Braves vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Braves +104 | Mets -108
  • Run line: Braves -1.5 (+170) | Mets +1.5 (-178)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+104) | Under 8.5 (-108)

Braves vs Mets trend


The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 50 away games (+23.75 Units / 39% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Mets.

How to watch Braves vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Flushing, NY
Date Saturday, June 13, 2026
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV BravesVision, SNY
Braves starting pitcher Martin Perez
(4-3, 3.02 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Sean Manaea
(1-1, 5.02 ERA)

Braves vs Mets latest injuries

Braves vs Mets weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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