Sparks vs Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 13, 2026 , 09:31 AM ET • 4 min read

The Mercury's offense has fallen apart during a lengthy skid, while the Sparks continue to win games by pushing the pace and piling up points. That combination creates value on Los Angeles as a short favorite.

WNBA

Match starts: 10 hrs
LA
64 %
PHO
36 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Los Angeles -1.5 (-105) Los Angeles -1.5 (-105)
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Sparks vs Mercury prediction, Kelsey Plum Los Angeles Sparks WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LA Sparks guard Kelsey Plum (10) dribbles the ball.

The LA Sparks look for their second 3-game win streak on the season when they travel to Phoenix to take on the Mercury tonight. 
 
The Mercury are struggling, dropping eight of their last 10, and find themselves as 1.5-point home dogs Saturday, June 13.
 
My Sparks vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks back the visitors to cover the spread, as Phoenix won’t be able to keep up with their potent offense.

Sparks vs Mercury prediction

Sparks vs Mercury best bet: Sparks -1.5 (-105)

The Phoenix Mercury haven't scored well enough to compete lately. During their 2-8 skid, Phoenix is averaging just 77.3 points per game while shooting 40.8% from the field and 28.5% from three — all bottom-three marks in the WNBA. 
 
Those numbers could improve against a Los Angeles Sparks defense allowing a league-high 90.4 points per game, but one favorable matchup won’t fix Phoenix's broader offensive issues. 
 
LA isn't winning with defense anyway; the Sparks are built to outscore their mistakes. 
 
They've also won each of their last two trips to Phoenix, while the road team has covered seven straight meetings. I make this line Sparks -3. Anything shorter remains playable.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Taking care of the basketball might be more important in this particular matchup than others, as both the Sparks and Mercury rank in the bottom half of the league in opponents' points off turnovers

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Sparks vs Mercury same-game parlay

Dearica Hamby should only have good vibes when lining up against Phoenix. Earlier this year, she hung 27 points and 15 boards against them — both career highs. 
 
She’s gone for at least 15 points in six of her last 10 against the Mercury.
 
And we’ll wrap with Sparks guard Kelsey Plum, who has a line of 6.5 assists, a number she has consistently been around all year. 
 
Plum has had at least seven dimes in six of her last seven games, and averages just under seven assists on the year.

Sparks vs Mercury SGP

  • Sparks -1.5
  • Hamby Over 14.5 points
  • Plum Over 6.5 assists
Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 3-6, -2.27 units
  • SGP: 0-8, -8 units

Sparks vs Mercury odds

  • Spread: Sparks -1.5 | Mercury +1.5
  • Moneyline: Sparks -115 | Mercury -105
  • Over/Under: Over 175.5 | Under 175.5

Sparks vs Mercury trend

The Mercury have lost each of their last seven games following a road loss. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Sparks vs Mercury

Location Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date Saturday, June 13, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV Spectrum SportsNet, Mercury+

Sparks vs Mercury latest injuries

Sparks: No injuries to report.
Mercury: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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