We have a true David vs. Goliath game as Germany and Curacao meet at NRG Stadium, with The Blue Wave facing the four-time winners.
It doesn’t take rocket science to know that Germany will win this one, but my Germany vs Curacao predictions expect it to be tighter than many think, with Germany unable to take a two-goal lead into the halftime interval.
Read on for my World Cup picks for Sunday, June 14, with kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Include bolded Team vs. Team predictions keyword and link to World Cup picks. Please link to World Cup odds and World Cup bracket throughout the article as well.
TOP PICK
Who will win Germany vs Curacao: Curacao +3.5 goals (-108)
Germany wins this game, but the odds aren’t worth betting on. Instead, we’re backing Curacao to outperform expectations against a German team, who don’t have the confidence of the German public at home.
With Aleksandar Pavlovic and Felix Nmecha, they have a real downgrade in the center of midfield compared to previous years, and that lack of spark will see them struggle to break down the low block of Dick Advocaat’s team.
The standard in Concacaf might be one of the worst qualification pools, but Curacao gave up just five goals in 10 qualifying games.
They’ve got this far off the back of a tight defense, and with Tahith Chong, they have a player who offers real speed, which will allow them to spring at Germany on the counterattack.
That won’t be enough to win, but it might help them get a single goal, or at least stop Germany from overcommitting forward.
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Germany vs Curacao Over/Under Pick: Under 4.5 goals (-127)
We’ve already covered Curacao’s tight defense in qualification, but facing Germany will be a different beast. We’re going to see them play a deep block, with the wings back alongside three CBs and two of the midfield three sitting in to protect them.
Germany has the guile to break them down, but it won’t be easy, and it won’t be quick.
The lack of creativity in the middle is a serious issue for Germany, and a wide player like Leroy Sane works best when he can utilize his pace, something he won’t be able to do with Deveron Donville sat deep, and the covering of Riechedly Bazoer.
The injury to Lennart Karl in the build-up to the tournament also cost Germany another player capable of unlocking a low block. Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz are players who can do that, but it won’t be easy or as high-scoring as many believe.
Germany vs Curacao projected lineup
Germany (4-3-2-1): Neuer; Kimmich, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Nmecha, Pavlovic; Sane, Musiala, Wirtz; Havertz.
Curacao (4-3-2-1): Room; Gaari, Obispo, Bazoer; Floranus, Comenencia, L. Bacuna, J. Bacuna, Fonville; Locadia, Chong
Germany vs Curacao injuries
Germany: None.
Curacao: None.
Germany vs Curacao weather
Dome.
Germany vs Curacao odds
 Germany |
 Curacao |
|
|---|---|---|
| -1567 | Moneyline | +3233 |
| +1900 | Draw | +1900 |
| Over 2.5 (+104) | Total | Under 2.5 (-108) |
Odds courtesy of Kalshi.
How to watch Germany vs Curacao
Check out FIFA's official 2026 World Cup website for more information.
| Location | NRG Stadium, Houston, TX |
| Date | Sunday, June 14, 2026 |
| Time | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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