Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 6, 2026 , 10:48 AM ET • 4 min read

Brandon Valenzuela's hot bat continues today!

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
BAL
49 %
TOR
51 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Brandon Valenzuela o0.5  Total Hits (-130) Brandon Valenzuela o0.5 Total Hits (-130)
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Brandon Valenzuela of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Brandon Valenzuela of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

Toronto Blue Jays catcher Brandon Valenzuela has homered in back-to-back starts, and his hitting profile suggests he’ll continue his hot play at the plate against Baltimore Orioles starter Kyle Bradish, making his hits prop an attractive play at -130. 

Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, June 6. 

Orioles vs Blue Jays predictions

Orioles vs Blue Jays best bet: Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 hits  (-130)

Brandon Valenzuela is hitting the ball well over his last nine games, sporting an .870 OPS in that stretch, including back-to-back games with a home run. 

The rookie slugger profiles extremely well against Baltimore Orioles starter Kyle Bradish, who primarily throws a sinker/slider combination. 

The rookie catcher owns a .400 batting average and .920 slugging percentage against those pitches, while generating hard contact at a 61.1% clip.

Additionally, Valenzuela has cashed this prop in 11 of his last 15 games

Despite his recent surge, the books are still mispricing him by having him priced at -130, which is well below every other Toronto Blue Jays hitter on the market today.

I’d play Valenzuela’s Over 0.5 hits up to -145.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Bradish’s 3.44 ERA suggests regression as his 4.04 xERA ranks in the 51st percentile, while sitting in the 13th percentile in barrel rate. 

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Orioles vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

I’ll continue to bet on the Blue Jays' bats today and wager on both George Springer and Nathan Lukes getting a hit. 

Springer has dominated Bradish in his career with a 1.263 OPS with six extra-base hits in 19-career at bats

He’s also starting to heat up at the plate with nine hits in his last eight games. 

As for Lukes, he’s eclipsed his hits total in nine of his last 10 outings, sporting a 191 WRC+ in that stretch, while also owning a .333 batting average against sinker/sliders.

Orioles vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Brandon Valenzuela O 0.5 hits
  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases 
  • Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 hits
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Orioles vs Blue Jays home run pick: Brandon Valenzuela (+700)


Bradish has allowed just two homers in his last five outings, so we’ll make this just a half-unit wager.

However, the Blue Jays hitter with the best power profile against Bradish is once again Valenzuela, who has gone yard in back-to-back games

He's been swinging a hot power bat recently, and since May 1, the slugging catcher owns a .400 average and a 1.067 slug-rate against Bradish’s two most commonly thrown pitches. 

Valenzuela also owns a 60% hard hit rate against them, which ranks 2nd on the Jays behind Yohendrick Pinango. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 30-32, +2.85 units
  • SGPs: 13-49, +10.35 units
  • HR picks: 9-53, -0.80 units

Orioles vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Baltimore -105 | Toronto -105
  • Run line: Baltimore -1.5 (+153) | Toronto +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)

Orioles vs Blue Jays trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Orioles vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, 6-6-2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV MASN, SN
Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish
(3-6, 3.44 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Bryadon Fisher
(2-1, 2.62 ERA)

Orioles vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Orioles vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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