MLB Picks

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Rafaela has touched home plate and recorded at least a hit in five consecutive games (14 total HRR). He sports a team-best 25 doubles and is on pace for career-best slashes. He also has an XBH and an RBI in three of his last five as he and the Sox look for a franchise record-tying 15th straight win.

When it comes to his home run skill, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Kansas City's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Casey Schmitt, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. American Family Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Cole Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Cole Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage in today's game.. Tyler Soderstrom is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jo Adell will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jo Adell's true offensive skill to be a .334, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 disparity between that figure and his actual .296 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Byron Buxton ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 venue in the league for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

I’m backing the Pittsburgh Pirates because this price is too long for a game my projection makes close to a coin flip. I’d play it to +110. Bubba Chandler’s command is uncomfortable, but his top-30 percentile barrel rate allowed should matter against a homer-dependent New York Yankees lineup. The gap is not wide enough to justify this moneyline. I have faded Will Warren plenty this season. He is not a bad pitcher, but the market keeps overvaluing him. His xERA sits near 5, and his below-average barrel profile meets a Pirates lineup with the eighth-highest barrel rate in baseball.

When it comes to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Wyatt Langford will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Kay in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Kay has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The 7th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.. Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 46% on the season to 85.7% in the last 7 days.

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.