MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, August 3

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 3, 2025 , 12:15 PM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB betting picks believe Charlie Morton is in for a rough Sunday night as he faces the homer-happy Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and the Phillies tonight.

Schwarber Phillies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Kyle Schwarber of the Philadelphia Phillies at the plate.

There is a full 15-game MLB slate on Sunday, with plenty of MLB player props to choose from.

I have compiled my three best free home run picks for August 3, featuring 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Padres O’Hearn (+650)
  • Phillies Schwarber (+210)
  • Phillies Harper (+300)
  • 💲 +8150 parlay💲
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Make your HR plays at DraftKings

Bet on your favorite home run props every day at DK, offering competitive odds and multi-HR props as well!

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

HR picks for August 3

Ryan O’Hearn (+650 at DraftKings)

Ryan O’Hearn looks to make an impact for his new team as the San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals in the afternoon portion of Sunday’s MLB slate. He homered in his final game as a Baltimore Oriole and gets the opportunity to keep it going against St. Louis’ Andre Pallante.

Through 21 starts this year, Pallante is 6-7 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The former fourth-round draft pick has routinely struggled since moving from the Cardinals’ bullpen to the rotation, and his analytics suggest more of the same going forward.

Pallante ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), strikeout rate, and hard-hit rate.

O’Hearn is 1-for-3 in his career against Pallante, with that one hit being a home run.

Kyle Schwarber (+210 at DraftKings)

Sunday Night Baseball features the Philadelphia Phillies hosting the Detroit Tigers. Right-hander Charlie Morton takes the mound for Detroit and profiles as a solid fade candidate.

Through 23 appearances this season, Morton is 7-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. His underlying metrics are equally poor, as he ranks in the bottom third of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and walk rate.

Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber is likely to exploit this opportunity. Entering this contest in great form, Schwarber has hit 10 home runs over his past 19 games.

Bryce Harper (+300 at DraftKings)

Another Phillies hitter to back in this game is Bryce Harper. He has fared extremely well against Morton in the past, posting a .621 slugging percentage and .567 expected slugging percentage (xSLG) through 39 plate appearances.

Like Schwarber, Harper enters this matchup in strong form, with six home runs over his past 14 games. During that stretch, Harper boasts a .309 batting average, .745 slugging percentage, and 1.123 OPS.

Today’s HR parlay

Ryan O’Hearn home run

Kyle Schwarber home run

Bryce Harper home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers
  2. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
  3. Pete Crow-Armstrong, Cubs

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo