Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 , 11:34 AM ET • 4 min read

DiStefano's Blue Jays Predictions: Ride Ernie Clement's hot bat today.

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
CLE
39 %
TOR
61 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ernie Clement o1.5  Total Bases (+110) Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
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Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

Ernie Clement cashed his base total for a sixth time in his last seven games last night, and with a southpaw on the mound for Cleveland today, I’m expecting that trend to continue this afternoon.

Read on for my Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, April 25.

Guardians vs Blue Jays predictions

Guardians vs Blue Jays best bet: Ernie Clement O 1.5 total bases (+110)


If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement to go Over his base total has been a pretty safe bet over the past week, as he’s 6-1 to the Over in his last seven outings. 

Throughout this seven-game stretch, Clement is averaging 2.57 bases per game with six extra-base hits

With a hit rate like that, it’s too much value to pass up his bases total again at plus-money (+110).

Additionally, with Cleveland Guardians lefty Joey Cantillo on the mound, it’s a great matchup for Clement, too. He had a terrific .900 OPS against lefties last season and owns a .317 average against them again so far this year. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Right-handed batters, like Clement, own a .786 OPS against Cantillo this season with six extra-base hits. 

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Guardians vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

When Kevin Gausman has his splitter dancing, he’s nearly unhittable. This is often the case when facing this lineup, which owns just a .196 average against him with 26 K’s in 92 at-bats.

I’ll take the Over 5.5 strikeouts tonight for Gausman against a team that struggles against the splitter.

I’ll double down on the Gausman strikeout market by taking Guardians' Bo Naylor to strike out. He struggles against Gausman, going 0-5 in his career with three K’s.  

Guardians vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
  • Kevin Gausman Over 5.5 strikeouts
  • Bo Naylor Over 0.5 strikeouts
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Guardians vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto. (+425)

I’ll make this a half-unit wager.

Cantillo has been prone to giving up quite a bit of power. He ranks in the 31st percentile in hard-hit rate and in the 28th percentile in average exit velocity.

Enter Kazuma Okamoto

The Jays third-baseman owns a .571 batting average against lefties who throw him that pitch with a 60% hard hit rate. He also owns a 1.107 OPS over the last seven days. 

Mike DiStefano's 2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 6-18, -9.15 units
  • SGPs: 3-21, -8.25 units
  • HR picks: 4-20, -1.35 units

Guardians vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Cleveland +127 | Toronto -140
  • Run line: Cleveland +1.5 (-165) | Toronto -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-105) | Under 8 (-115)

Guardians vs Blue Jays trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Guardians vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, April 25, 2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet One
Guardians starting pitcher Joey Cantillo
(1-0, 3.20 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
(1-1, 2.54 ERA)

Guardians vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Guardians vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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