MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

SEA @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+159)

Projection 1.65

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +159

Cal Raleigh projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kumar Rocker... and even better, Rocker has a large platoon split.. In the past week, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph in recent games.. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cal Raleigh has had bad variance on his side given the .086 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +125

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +119

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. There has been a significant improvement in Julio Rodriguez's launch angle from last season's 9.3° to 12.7° this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive talent to be a .357, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .038 gap between that figure and his actual .319 wOBA.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

AZ @

PIT Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.0 (+100)

Best Odds

o8.5 -121

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o9.0 -105

o9.0 -110

o9.0 -106

o9.0 -105

o8.5 -132

o8.5 -121

I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.

Total Bases

Tyler Locklear o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.48

Best Odds

o1.5 +225

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +225

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Tyler Locklear has been hot in recent games, notching a a 23.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the past week.. Tyler Locklear has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the last 7 days — 111.5-mph — which is a good measure of recent form and raw power.. In the last 7 days, Tyler Locklear's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 61.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

+225 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

BAL @

DET Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+180)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +157

o1.5 +155

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. With a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Taylor Ward has performed in the 78th percentile for power.

+180 at bet365

Total Bases

Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-220)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u1.5 -220

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -220

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 37% of the time.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Over the last two weeks, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.

-220 at bet365

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PHI @

MIA Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+122)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +124

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +124

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Trea Turner has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.. Trea Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.3-mph.

+124 at Kalshi Sports

Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+173)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +173

o1.5 +175

As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.2° mark last year.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

TOR @

WAS Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o10.0 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -121

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -125

o10.0 -104

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -126

o9.5 -121

Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.

Total RBIs

Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +140

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +160

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Bats such as Daulton Varsho with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Alvarez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team on the slate today.

+185 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

CLE @

CIN Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Chase DeLauter will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns in today's matchup.

+132 at bet365

Total Bases

Angel Martinez o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +163

o1.5 +185

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #3 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today.. This season, Angel Martinez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.2 mph compared to last year's 88.9 mph mark.

+185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

ATL @

NYM Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 21 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +135

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Drake Baldwin has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Drake Baldwin has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph mark.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: 26 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +198

o1.5 +200

Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 89.1-mph.. Despite posting a .197 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Polanco has been unlucky given the .126 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.. Jorge Polanco has performed at a clip of 27.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+200 at FanDuel

View 10 Picks

NYY @

CHW Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o8.5 +101

Pick made: 10 hours ago

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -116

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -108

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -103

o8.5 +101

I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.

Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.

Moneyline

NYY (-137)

Best Odds

-142

Pick made: 10 hours ago

-150

-145

-161

-148

-150

-143

-142

I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.

Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early

View 12 Picks

CHC @

STL Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.67

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 3 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Hits

Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+105)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

u0.5 +110

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +105

Miguel Amaya's BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Amaya is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Amaya today.. This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.93 ft/sec last year to 25.27 ft/sec currently.

+110 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

HOU @

LAA Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-102)

Projection 2.21

Best Odds

o1.5 -102

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -113

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -103

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Walbert Urena throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walbert Urena.

-102 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.8

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +159

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Mike Trout will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. By putting up a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Trout grades out in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

BOS @

ATH Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

BOS -1.5 (+101)

Best Odds

-1.5 -105

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-1.5 -105

-1.5 -110

-1.5 -108

-1.5 -110

-1.5 -112

-1.5 -107

I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.

Total Bases

Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+129)

Projection 2.27

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +129

Nick Kurtz projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 104°.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

MIL @

SF Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

o0.5 +218

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +198

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +218

o0.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.. Bryce Eldridge will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers only has 1 same-handed RP.

+218 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.32

Best Odds

o1.5 +205

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +205

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.. Willy Adames has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.. In the last week's worth of games, Willy Adames's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

+205 at bet365

View 10 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: one month ago

o0.5 +425

o0.5 +370

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: one month ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -219

Pick made: one month ago

o9.5 -219

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

-116

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 +100

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

o8.5 -108

o8.5 +101

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-107

Pick made: one month ago

-110

-112

-118

-115

-111

-107

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o7.5 -470

Pick made: one month ago

o7.5 -470

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

+105

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 3 Picks

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.