MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions August 7

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 7, 2026 , 11:36 AM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB experts make the case for the Orioles at an underdog price tonight, and much more.

Baltimore Orioles Tyler O'Neill Pete Alonso MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles pinch hitter Tyler O'Neill (9) celebrates with first baseman Pete Alonso (25) after hitting a solo home run.

An exciting weekend of baseball is ahead, starting with a full slate of games this Friday, August 8.

Our MLB expert picks are here to help you get your weekend off to a winning start. See why the Orioles should be part of your MLB picks tonight.

MLB expert picks for today

Pick Odds
Jon Metler Jon Metler: BAL ML +127
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: CLE ML -136

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Jon Metler's expert pick: Orioles moneyline

Price: 44¢ (+127) at Polymarket

The matchup for Shane Baz is the main reason I'm backing this bet, but the Texas Rangers also feel like a team in a strange spot after the trade deadline. Reports surfaced that Texas was shopping veterans Corey Seager, Jacob deGrom, and Nathan Eovaldi despite remaining in the American League playoff race, creating some uncertainty around the clubhouse.

On the field, Baz draws a favorable matchup. Three of the Rangers' top five left-handed hitters—Seager, Joc Pederson, and Evan Carter—do their best damage on pitches at the bottom of the zone. Baz attacks in the opposite manner, using a riding four-seam fastball at the top of the strike zone before tunneling his secondary pitches off it.

That pitch mix should help neutralize the Rangers' pull-side power. 

The Baltimore Orioles are trading as a 44-cent underdog, but I make them closer to a 48-cent underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.

  • Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Apple TV

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Guardians moneyline

Price: 58¢ (-136) at Polymarket

The Chicago White Sox are in a brutal spot tonight after being swept in Boston and losing a 13-inning game yesterday. Chicago used seven relievers in the loss and now turns to Noah Schultz, who owns a 5.82 ERA and rarely pitches deep into games.

The White Sox are also just 1-7 across his last eight appearances.

Meanwhile, Parker Messick has allowed only one earned run in each of his three starts since the All-Star break. He owns a 2.20 road ERA and has held Chicago hitters to a .174 batting average in two starts against them this season.

Back the Cleveland Guardians to -150.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: CleGuardians.TV, CHSN

More MLB best bets for today

Pick Odds
BOS -1.5 -126
Read analysis in our A's vs. Red Sox predictions.
CHC ML -170
Read analysis in our Cubs vs. Royals predictions.
NYM/PIT u8.5 -120
Read analysis in our Mets vs. Pirates predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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