Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 7, 2024 , 01:09 PM ET • 4 min read

The Yankees have won eight straight, but with Juan Soto ailing and the Dodgers giving Cody Poteet his first true test, our MLB picks think that streak could be in serious danger.

MLB

Jun 07 • 7:05 PM ET
LAD
43 %
NYY
57 %
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Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It's a big-time series when the New York Yankees welcome the Los Angeles Dodgers to town.

A World Series preview? The two teams will enter this evening as co-favorites to the fall classic. While New York has won a league-best eight straight games, and L.A. has lost two of its last three, my Yankees vs. Dodgers predictions are counting on that trend to halt.

Read on for my free MLB picks for this Friday, June 7 clash.

Dodgers vs Yankees prediction

My best bet
Dodgers moneyline (-140 at bet365)

My analysis

There’s been some heavy movement towards L.A. in this series, and disagreeing with that isn't easy. If you're going to get the Yankees, this is a prime position to do just that. I'm rolling with the Dodgers as my best bet.

Third-year major-leaguer Cody Poteet will grab the mound for the Yankees as he continues to build back from a year off. There is a limited amount of data here to work off. Poteet's first two starts of the year came against two subpar offenses in the Cleveland Guardians and San Francisco Giants, where he allowed a combined three earned runs. Not much has come from those games in the way of negatives, but what's been a constant for Poteet is a hard-hit rate that sits well below the league average. You'd think that would be an issue against the Dodgers.

Though it's underperformed, this L.A. offense has tons of power. Behind Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani, and Freddie Freeman, you don't need me to tell you that. All three players rank in the Top 10% of barrel rate, and I expect them to show up today. 

On the other side of the mound, Yoshinobu Yamamoto is going for the Dodgers. 

Juan Soto, who left last night's game with an injury, puts a giant hole in the Yankees lineup. It should set Yamamoto up well to have some success today. He’s had some mixed starts over his last five, but one of the things he's done throughout is induce the ground ball. Without Soto, making the Yankees a groundball team becomes much more feasible. That and a solid matchup on the other side should be enough to get the job done.

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Dodgers vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

Dodgers moneyline

Over 9.5

I'm pairing the Over with our best bet, as I projected a total of 9.7. Even though I expect Yamamoto to have some solid success against Soto-less lineup, there are still issues like a barrel rate that sits near the bottom of baseball that could cause trouble. You already know how I feel about the Dodgers matchup, and it appears the offense has awoken with its last two games both going Over.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Dodgers vs Yankees odds

Dodgers vs Yankees live odds

Dodgers vs Yankees opening odds

  • Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+142) | New York  +1.5 (-172) 
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -106 | New York -110
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)

Dodgers vs Yankees spread and Over/Under analysis

  • For the first time in at least nine games, two things have happened: The team opposing the New York Yankees has taken both more money and bets than the Yankees, and it appears the Yankees will be the underdog, with the Dodgers currently hovering at -140 favorites.

  • This series has been quite competitive in the recent head-to-head matchups; the Yankees hold a slight edge over the last 10, winning six.

  • The Yankees have won eight straight games overall, and bettors have profited just over four units backing them straight up in their last 10 games.

  • The Dodgers have gone 6-4 in the last 10 games, yielding moneyline bettors a slight loss. 

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Dodgers vs Yankees trend

The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the run line in 24 of their last 41 games (+3.90 units / 8% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Yankees

Dodgers vs Yankees game info

Location: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Date: Friday, 6-7-2024
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: Apple TV+
Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(6-2, 3.32 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher: Cody Poteet
(2-0, 2.45 ERA)

Dodgers vs Yankees latest injuries

Dodgers vs Yankees weather

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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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