Dodgers vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 6, 2026 , 07:13 AM ET • 4 min read

Naessens' Prediction: Astros outslug Dodgers and win this series!

MLB

May 06 • 2:10 PM ET
LAD
65 %
HOU
35 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Houston +180 Houston +180
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Lance McCullers of the Houston Astros MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Lance McCullers of the Houston Astros MLB

The Houston Astros seek a series victory this afternoon when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Daikin Park.

The L.A. bats have struggled recently, and my Dodgers vs. Astros predictions have Houston winning this series.

Read on for my MLB picks for Wednesday, May 6. 

Who will win Dodgers vs Astros today: Astros moneyline (+180)

Lance McCullers Jr. is trending up at exactly the right time, generating 13 swings and misses across six innings against Baltimore last week. 

The Houston Astros have also been the hotter offense over the last seven days, posting a 107 wRC+ while the Los Angeles Dodgers rank 14th with just two home runs and a .085 ISO. 

Yordan Alvarez is a threat against anyone, and Jose Altuve has gone deep twice against Dodgers starter Tyler Glasnow

Nearly 2/1 underdogs with an offense this dangerous is too much to pass up.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Alvarez ranks in the 89th percentile, with a 51.3% hard-hit rate across 117 batted-ball events. 

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Dodgers vs Astros Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-112)

Glasnow is excellent but has surrendered four home runs this season, and the wind blowing out at Daikin Park on a hot, humid afternoon turns warning-track shots into runs. 

The Astros bullpen ranks among the worst in baseball over the last seven days, posting a 5.88 ERA with a 15% home run rate

Alvarez is a genuine threat to go deep against anyone, and once both starters exit, neither pen inspires confidence. 

The Over is 6-4 in their previous 10 meetings, and this total is begging to be cleared.

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 5-9, -3.05 units
  • Over/Under bets: 5-7, -3.16 units

Dodgers vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -194 | Astros +186
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-117) | Astros +1.5 (+113)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+108)

Dodgers vs Astros trend

The Astros are 7-3 in their previous 10 games with the Dodgers. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Astros.

How to watch Dodgers vs Astros and game info

Location Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Date Wednesday, May 6, 2026
First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
TV SportsNet LA, SCHN
Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow
(3-0, 2.56 ERA)
Astros starting pitcher Lance McCullers Jr.
(2-2, 6.32 ERA)

Dodgers vs Astros latest injuries

Dodgers vs Astros weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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