The Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park this evening.
Philly took the series opener 13-7 last night, but my Cubs vs. Phillies predictions are backing the visitors as underdogs on Tuesday.
Here are my best free MLB picks for this NL clash on April 14.
Who will win Cubs vs Phillies today: Cubs moneyline (+120)
Riley Martin will take the mound as the Chicago Cubs opener tonight, with Colin Rea serving as a bulk reliever. Martin has looked sharp as a reliever, while Rea has a 3.18 ERA this year and pitched to a 3.95 ERA in 159 2/3 frames last season.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies are giving the pill to Aaron Nola, who had an ugly 6.01 ERA in 2025. The veteran right-hander gives up too much hard contact and is susceptible to the long ball.
Martin and Rea are both ground-ball pitchers, and that could be the difference, with both teams boasting plenty of pop in their lineups.
COVERS INTEL: Aaron Nola sits in the bottom 40th percentile in hard-hit rate and barrel rate, with opponents slugging .471 against him since the start of last season.
Cubs vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-110)
Although both of these teams have middling numbers this season, they combined for 20 runs last night. Each club scored at a high level last year and has dangerous lineups on paper, so they should find their groove eventually.
I'm expecting the Cubs’ big bats to get to Nola, which is why I like them as underdogs on the moneyline.
That said, I also don't have much faith in Rea, who finished in the 25th percentile in xERA (4.55), xBA (.261), and barrel rate (10.3%) last year.
- ML/RL bets: 3-5, -2.88 units
- Over/Under bets: 4-1, +2.75 units
Cubs vs Phillies odds
- Moneyline: Cubs +120 | Phillies -140
- Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-156) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-110) | Under 9.5 (-110)
Cubs vs Phillies trend
The Over is 6-2 in Chicago's last eight games (+4.90 Units / 54% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Phillies.
How to watch Cubs vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Tuesday, April 14, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | truTV, TBS |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Riley Martin (0-0, 0.00 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Aaron Nola (1-1, 3.64 ERA) |
Cubs vs Phillies latest injuries
Cubs vs Phillies weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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