Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Chad Patrick has looked great in the Brewers rotation and holds enough of an edge over Cubs SP Ben Brown for us to target the Milwaukee moneyline at plus money at Wrigley Field.

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jun 17, 2025 • 08:08 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 57 mins
CHC
59 %
MIL
41 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Milwaukee +128 Milwaukee +128
Read Analysis
Chad Patrick Milwaukee Brewers MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Chad Patrick continues his impressive rookie campaign.

The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers in the first matchup of this three-game series at Wrigley Field.

MLB odds list Chicago as a -150 favorite, while the total sits at 9.5. However, my Brewers vs. Cubs prediction are finding value in backing the underdogs at +128.

Read on for my full MLB picks for Tuesday, June 17.

Brewers vs Cubs prediction

My Brewers vs Cubs best bet: Brewers moneyline (+128 at FanDuel)

The Milwaukee Brewers' pitching advantage is strong enough to justify taking a shot on its +123 price tag tonight. While the Chicago Cubs possess the better lineup, the Brewers also rank in the top half of the league in runs scored per game.

Milwaukee right-hander Chad Patrick has put together an excellent rookie campaign thus far, posting a 3.25 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through 15 appearances.

His analytics suggest that success is likely to continue. Entering this matchup, the right-hander ranks in the top half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.

Patrick holds a significant pitching advantage over Cubs right-hander Ben Brown. After a moderately successful rookie campaign, Brown has regressed significantly in his sophomore season.

Through 14 appearances, Brown is 3-5 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even worse, as he ranks in the bottom third of the league in xERA, expected batting average (xBA), barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.

Brewers vs Cubs same-game parlay (SGP)

Brewers moneyline

Chad Patrick 6+ strikeouts

Sal Frelick 1+ hits

One of Patrick’s greatest strengths is his ability to rack up strikeouts. This season, he ranks in the top half of the league in chase and strikeout rates. He has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his past five starts.

Sal Frelick is 1-for-3 against Brown and has recorded eight hits over his past five games. Frelick boasts a .421 batting average over that stretch.

Brewers vs Cubs odds

Brewers vs Cubs live odds

Brewers vs Cubs opening odds

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee +125 | Chicago -150
  • Run line: Milwaukee +1.5 (-160) | Chicago -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)

Brewers vs Cubs trend

Milwaukee has won four of its past six games. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Cubs.

How to watch Brewers vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Tuesday, 6-17-2025
First pitch 8:05 p.m. ET
TV FDSNWI, Marquee
Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick
(3-6, 3.25 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Ben Brown
(3-5, 5.71 ERA)

Brewers vs Cubs latest injuries

Brewers vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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